责任编辑：小浪快报 2026年1月30日，金诚信（sh603979）触及跌停，跌停价79.02元，涨幅-10%，总市值492.92亿元，流通 市值492.92亿元，截止发稿，总成交额7.24亿元。 根据喜娜AI异动分析，金诚信跌停原因可能如下，担保风险+业务增速缓+股价创新高回调： 1、公司自 身经营风险：金诚信对外担保总额达净资产的32.4%，接近监管红线，且对资产负债率超70%的子公司 担保额度达15亿元，担保比例较高，潜在风险较大。同时核心矿服业务增速放缓，经营活动现金流同比 下降，影响投资者对公司的信心。 2、海外项目不确定性：公司赞比亚等海外项目占募资额65%，存在 地缘政治和汇率波动风险，这可能导致项目推进受阻或成本增加，进而影响公司业绩。 3、概念与市场 情况：金诚信属于矿业服务和有色金属概念。近期市场对矿业板块的热度可能有所下降，同概念相关板 块部分个股也有回调迹象，金诚信受板块整体氛围影响。 4、技术面与资金因素：2026年1月28日股价 创历史新高，涨幅达4.42%，短期积累了大量获利盘，存在获利回吐压力。资金可能选择在此时流出， 技术上股价也有回调需求。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本 ...

1月30日，金诚信盘中下跌5.23%，截至09:35，报83.21元/股，成交2.07亿元，换手率0.40%，总市值 519.05亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流入295.85万元，特大单买入1670.42万元，占比8.05%，卖出1280.12万元， 占比6.17%；大单买入4690.47万元，占比22.62%，卖出4784.92万元，占比23.07%。 金诚信今年以来股价涨9.27%，近5个交易日涨5.77%，近20日涨9.27%，近60日涨32.67%。 资料显示，金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司位于北京市丰台区育仁南路3号院3号楼，成立日期2008年1月7 日，上市日期2015年6月30日，公司主营业务涉及矿山工程建设、采矿运营管理、矿山设计与技术研发 在内的矿山开发服务业务。主营业务收入构成为：阴极铜、铜精矿及磷矿石销售46.11%，采矿运营管 理39.63%，矿山工程建设11.85%，材料、设备及其他1.29%，矿山机械设备1.00%，矿山设计咨询 0.13%。 金诚信所属申万行业为：有色金属-工业金属-铜。所属概念板块包括：中非合作、有色铜、黄金股、磷 化工、化学原料概念等。 截至12月31日，金诚 ...

市场方面，有色金属板块反复活跃，金属铜、贵金属领涨，西部黄金7天4板，中国黄金5连板，北方铜业2连板创历史新高。 | 晓程科技 | 84.38 | 19.52% | 197亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 融 300139 | | | | | 4天2板 | | | | | 飞南资源 | 24.42 | 15.68% | 35.2 乙 | | 融 301500 | | | | | 2天1板 | | | | | 铜陵有色 | 9.19 | 10.06% | 1024亿 | | 融 000630 | | | | | 5天4板 最终涨停13:32 | | | | | 中国黄金 | 13.50 | 10.02% | 227亿 | | 融 600916 | | | | | 西部黄金 | 48.69 | 10.01% | 432亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ■ 601069 | | | | | 4天3板 最终涨停10:50 | | | | | 湖南黄金 | 33.64 | 10.01% | 526亿 | | 融 002155 | | | | | 4天4板 最终 ...

有色铜板块全线强势上扬，白银（核心股）有色、豫光金铅、西部黄金、北方铜业、铜陵有色、云南铜 业，板块相关整理如下： 白银（核心股）有色（601212.SH） 最新股价：15.19元 日涨幅：+10.00% (涨停) 亮点：甘肃大型有色金属（核心股）联合企业，业务覆盖铜铅锌采选冶全产业链。重点铜矿包括境内火 焰山矿及收购的秘鲁 Cerro Verde 铜矿，总铜资源量丰富。 豫光金铅（600531.SH） 最新股价：24.97元 日涨幅：+10.00% (5连板，涨停) 亮点：主营铅、锌、铜冶炼及贵金属（核心股）回收，拥有国际领先的"双底吹连续炼铜"技术。 西部黄金（601069.SH） 最新股价：48.69元 日涨幅：+10.00% (涨停) 亮点：除黄金主业外，旗下参股的新疆美德康特巴哈苏苏铜多金属矿拥有铜储量丰富。 北方铜业（000737.SZ） 铜陵有色（000630.SZ） 最新股价：9.19元 日涨幅：+10.00% (涨停) 亮点："新中国铜业摇篮"，国内阴极铜产能龙头，拥有国内及厄瓜多尔米拉多铜矿等优质资源，总权益 铜储量丰富。 云南铜业（000878.SZ） 最新股价：13.79元 日涨幅：+ ...

宏观与产业形成共振，铜的战略价值持续提升。全球地缘政治冲突加剧，铜作为关键矿产的战略属性凸 显，各国对资源的掌控力度持续加强。美元信用削弱趋势下，铜与贵金属的联动性增强，在避险情绪与 通胀预期的双重作用下，资金对铜的配置需求提升。中长期来看，AI数据中心、新能源汽车、储能等 新兴领域快速发展，将持续打开铜的需求天花板，而供给端的刚性约束难以短期缓解，供需紧平衡格局 将长期维持，铜价中枢有望逐步上移。 据新华社报道，国际黄金期货价格和现货价格29日再创新高，盘中突破每盎司5500美元。 近期工业金属板块表现亮眼，资金关注度持续提升。作为工业金属的核心品种，铜正从传统工业金属升 级为战略资产，这会如何定义其未来的价值？请看机构最新研判。 近期，有色板块中铜品种表现亮眼，资金关注度显著提升。这轮行情的核心支撑，主要来自供需两端的 共振。供给端，全球铜矿资本开支不足，矿端扰动频发，铜精矿供需格局由紧平衡转向短缺；需求端， 国内经济复苏带动下游补库，海外降息周期打开流动性宽松空间，铜的金融属性与商品属性形成正向循 环。 具体来看，供给端约束持续强化，成为铜价的核心支撑。全球铜矿长期资本开支不足，叠加矿山品位下 降、地缘 ...

证券日报网讯 1月28日，金诚信发布公告称，截至目前公司已使用的担保额度（含年度担保额度及各单 项担保额度）合计为296，680.33万元，占公司最近一期经审计的归属于上市公司股东净资产的比重为 33.02%；实际正在履行的担保余额（含年度担保额度内担保余额及各单项担保余额）约为人民币292， 527.00万元，占公司最近一期经审计的归属于上市公司股东净资产的比重为32.56%，其中年度担保额度 内实际正在履行的担保余额约为人民币107，742.87万元。截至本公告披露日，公司无逾期担保事项。 （编辑 袁冠琳） ...

| 证券代码：603979 | 证券简称：金诚信 | | 公告编号：2026-009 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：113615 | 转债简称：金诚转债 | | | | | 25 | 转债 | | | 转债代码：113699 | 转债简称：金 | | | 金诚信矿业管理股份有限公司 关于为子公司提供担保的进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 | 被担保人名称 | 本次担保金额 | 实际为其提供的 | 是否在前期 | 本次担保是 否有反担保 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 担保余额（不含 本次担保金额） | 预计额度内 | | | 有道国际投资有限公司 Bemoral International | 7,000 万人民币 | | 0 是 | 否 | | Investment Limited | | | | | 累计担保情况 | 对外担保逾期的累计金额（万元） | 0.00 | | --- ...

Group 1 - The industrial metals sector is expected to enter a golden window in 2026, driven by macroeconomic factors and fundamental demand, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and domestic policies boosting liquidity and demand [1] - Supply constraints are evident due to insufficient long-term capital expenditure, declining ore grades, and frequent mine production cuts, leading to sustained pressure on copper and aluminum supplies [1][5] - Demand remains resilient in traditional sectors while emerging fields like AI data centers and energy storage are experiencing explosive growth, becoming key drivers of marginal demand [1][2] Group 2 - The copper market is characterized by a structural shortage, with refined copper expected to face a shortfall of 380,000 tons in 2026, leading to an upward price trend [1][5] - The aluminum sector is in a tight balance phase, with domestic production capacity nearing its limit and new capacity additions constrained by high costs and power supply issues in regions like Indonesia [2][5] - Demand for aluminum is significantly improving, particularly in transportation and power electronics, with a projected domestic aluminum shortfall increasing from 150,000 tons in 2025 to 1,070,000 tons by 2027 [2][5] Group 3 - The financial attributes of copper are strengthened by the ongoing interest rate cuts, while its commodity attributes are constrained by supply-side tensions [5] - The demand for copper in data centers is projected to reach 268,000 tons by 2026, driven by the growth of AI and energy storage applications [1][24] - The aluminum demand in data centers is estimated at 78,000 tons globally and 20,000 tons domestically by 2026, with aluminum primarily used in structural and electrical applications [39][40] Group 4 - Investment recommendations focus on companies in the copper sector with sustainable growth, including Zijin Mining, Minmetals Resources, and China Nonferrous Mining, while also highlighting aluminum companies with strong dividend yields and profit elasticity [5][52] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply chain risks related to bauxite, as the industry remains highly dependent on external sources [5][55]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6]. Core Viewpoints - Liquidity expectations have upgraded, leading to intensified trading. Recent optimistic interest rate cut expectations have resurfaced, driving both precious and industrial metals to break through previous levels. In the past week, the negative feedback for copper and aluminum has significantly weakened, and improvements in the real economy may be observed under high price conditions. Overall, the bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged under the support of domestic and international policies [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The report indicates an upgrade in liquidity expectations and a continuation of intense trading. The probability of BlackRock executive Riedel being elected as the Federal Reserve Chairman has surged to 54%. The optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts have reignited, pushing precious and industrial metals to new highs. Although copper and aluminum inventories continue to accumulate, the pace of accumulation has slowed, and the negative feedback from downstream processing has significantly diminished, with operating rates beginning to recover [9][13]. 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 6.03%, ranking fourth among all industries [28]. The report lists several investment targets, including Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988, Buy) and Zijin Mining (601899, Buy) [4]. 3. Precious Metals - Precious metals are experiencing intense liquidity trading, awaiting the confirmation of the Federal Reserve Chairman nomination. As of January 23, SHFE gold rose by 8.07% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 7.54% to 4,036.00 USD per ounce. The report notes that the market expects limited upward pressure on precious metals in the short term due to anticipated interest rate stabilization [14][30]. 4. Copper - The report highlights renewed support for copper prices due to supply disruptions. As of January 23, SHFE copper rose by 0.57% to 101,340 CNY per ton, and LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton. Supply tightness continues, with recent strikes in Chile affecting copper concentrate availability [17][70]. 5. Aluminum - The report indicates a reduction in negative feedback for aluminum, with demand showing marginal recovery. As of January 23, SHFE aluminum rose by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, and LME aluminum increased by 1.12% to 3,169 USD per ton. The processing operating rate has risen by 0.7 percentage points to 60.9% [16][83].

要点 本周小结： 2026 年供需偏紧仍支持铜价上行。截至 2026 年 1 月 23 日，SHFE 铜收盘价 101340 元/吨，环比 1 月 16 日+0.57%；截至 2026 年 1 月 23 日，LME 铜收盘价 13129 美元/吨，环比 1 月 16 日+2.54%。（1）宏观：市场对美联储 2026 年 1 月不降息已经基本定价。（2）供需：TC 现货价续创新低，显示铜精 矿现货采购依然紧张；线缆企业开工率本周环比回升，但国内社会库存继续增长， 铜价大涨对需求有压制；但展望 2026 年，供需依然偏紧，继续看好铜价上行。 库存：国内铜社库环比+2.9%，LME 铜库存环比+16.9%。（1）港口铜精矿库存： 截至 2026 年 1 月 23 日，国内主流港口铜精矿库存 71.9 万吨，环比上周+4.1%。 （2）全球电解铜库存：截至 2026 年 1 月 23 日，全球三大交易所库存合计 96.0 万吨，环比 1 月 16 日+6.2%。截至 1 月 22 日，LME 铜全球库存 17.2 万吨，环 比+16.9%；SMM 铜社会库存 33.0 万吨，环比 1 月 16 日+2.9%。截至 ...