嘉泽新能：公司业绩超预期，在建风电1.8GW保障持续增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company's Q3 power generation exceeded expectations, with a growth of 4.2% year-on-year, reaching 12.04 billion kWh, and a gross margin increase of 3.3 percentage points to 59.5% [1][3] - The company reported Q3 revenue of 578 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.61%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 139 million yuan, up 6.4% year-on-year, surpassing market expectations [3] - The company has 1.82 GW of wind power projects under construction, primarily located in Heilongjiang, Guangxi, and Shandong, which are expected to contribute to sustained growth in the coming years [3] - Recent favorable policies for green electricity are expected to enhance the value of renewable energy projects, potentially stabilizing returns and promoting the recovery of green electricity value [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q3 power generation was 12.04 billion kWh, up 4.2% year-on-year, and grid-connected power generation was 11.1 billion kWh, up 3.6% year-on-year [1] - Q3 gross margin improved to 59.5%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [1] - Q3 revenue reached 578 million yuan, with a net profit of 139 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 7.61% and 6.4% respectively [3] Project Development - The company has 1.82 GW of wind power projects under construction, with significant projects in Heilongjiang and other regions expected to commence operation in the next 2-3 years [3] - The benchmark electricity prices for Heilongjiang and Guangxi are 0.374 yuan/kWh and 0.4207 yuan/kWh respectively, indicating a favorable pricing environment for new projects [3] Market Outlook - Recent policies from the Ningxia Development and Reform Commission aim to enhance the consumption of renewable energy, which could increase demand for green certificates and stabilize project returns [4] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024-2026, with expected net profits of 729.52 million yuan, 896.64 million yuan, and 1.05704 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of -9.16%, 22.91%, and 17.89% [4]