CAPOL(002949) 天风证券·2024-10-30 06:58Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price reflecting a potential upside of over 20% within the next six months [5][14]. Core Views - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and profit in Q3, with a year-on-year revenue drop of 22.9% and a net profit decrease of 19.46% for the first three quarters of 2024. However, the company is accelerating its business transformation towards the digital cultural industry, including a 20 million yuan investment fund and a 10 million yuan investment in a new subsidiary [1][4]. - The gross margin has improved significantly, reaching 34.0% for the first three quarters of 2024, up 2.09 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to an optimization of the business structure and a focus on high-quality clients [2]. - The company has successfully reduced absolute values of expenses, with a net profit margin of 14.61% for the first three quarters of 2024, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase. Cash flow remains a focus area for improvement [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 812 million yuan, with a net profit of 112 million yuan. The Q3 revenue was 293 million yuan, with a net profit of 53 million yuan [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 45.2%, indicating a year-on-year increase of 3.64 percentage points [2]. - The company’s net profit forecast for 2024-2026 has been adjusted to 150 million, 180 million, and 210 million yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20, 17, and 15 times [4].