HPI(600011) 国泰君安·2024-10-30 06:59Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [2] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 performance was slightly below expectations due to impairment losses, but coal power operations remained stable, and renewable energy showed signs of recovery [3] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 188.4 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 10.4 billion, down 17.1% year-on-year [8] - In Q3 2024, revenue was 65.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%, while net profit was 2.96 billion, a significant decline of 52.7% year-on-year, which was lower than previous expectations [8] - The company's coal power segment maintained high profitability, with total profits of 2.59 billion in Q3 2024, down 9.0% year-on-year [8] - The company achieved a total electricity sales volume of 107.7 billion kWh in Q3 2024, a slight decrease of 0.3% year-on-year but an increase of 37.8% quarter-on-quarter [8] Renewable Energy Performance - The company's renewable energy sales volume reached 136 billion kWh in Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 41.3% [8] - The profitability of the renewable energy segment recovered, with total profits of 2.36 billion in Q3 2024, up 58.3% year-on-year [8] - The company added 5.3 GW of new renewable energy capacity in the first three quarters of 2024, with 2.2 GW added in Q3 alone [8] Financial Projections - The company maintains its EPS forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 at 0.77, 0.87, and 0.96 respectively [8] - The target price remains at 11.10, reflecting a valuation premium due to the company's leading position in the thermal power industry [8] Market Data - The company's current stock price is 7.27, with a market capitalization of 114.125 billion [4] - The stock has traded within a range of 6.38 to 10.14 over the past 52 weeks [4]