Shenzhen VMAX New Energy (SH:688612) Southwest Securities·2024-10-31 00:33Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 30.80 CNY over the next six months [1][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a steady revenue growth of 21.35% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2024, achieving a total revenue of 4.36 billion CNY. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 2.81% year-on-year to 296 million CNY [1]. - The gross margin improved slightly, with a gross margin of 19.70% for the first three quarters of 2023, up by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year. However, the net profit margin decreased to 6.98%, down by 0.89 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The company is expanding its market share in the domestic passenger car onboard charger market, ranking second with a 19.6% market share as of August 2024 [1]. - The company has received positive feedback for its integrated onboard power supply products from overseas clients and is accelerating its expansion into international markets [1]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.589 billion CNY, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 18.68% and a year-on-year growth of 13.20%. The net profit for Q3 was 80 million CNY, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.50% but a year-on-year decrease of 20.77% [1]. - The company forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.1% for net profit from 2024 to 2026, with expected net profits of 457 million CNY, 591 million CNY, and 747 million CNY for the respective years [1][6]. Business Segments - The onboard power supply business is expected to see significant growth, with projected sales volumes of 2.32 million, 2.96 million, and 3.44 million units from 2024 to 2026 [4]. - The electric drive business is also expanding, with expected sales volumes of 86,500, 90,800, and 95,400 units from 2024 to 2026, benefiting from an integrated approach [5]. - The company anticipates a revenue increase of 10% for its other businesses, including electric vehicle communication controllers and liquid-cooled charging modules, maintaining a gross margin of 33% [5]. Valuation Metrics - The company is compared with peers such as Xinrui Technology and Inbol, with an average PE ratio of 22 times for 2025, leading to the target price of 30.80 CNY [7][8]. - The projected revenue for the company is expected to reach 6.436 billion CNY, 7.948 billion CNY, and 9.076 billion CNY from 2024 to 2026, with growth rates of 16.53%, 23.50%, and 14.19% respectively [6][10].