Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][2] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in its enterprise-level storage segment, with expectations for continued revenue growth driven by the mass shipment of enterprise-grade SSDs [2][3] - The overall storage market is expected to benefit from the global AIGC wave and the "Digital China" initiative, providing substantial growth opportunities for the company [3][4] Financial Summary - For 2022A, the company's revenue was 8,330 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -14.6%. In 2023A, revenue is projected to increase to 10,125 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 21.6%. By 2024E, revenue is expected to reach 16,434 million yuan, representing a growth rate of 62.3% [1][10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 73 million yuan in 2022A, with a significant decline to -828 million yuan in 2023A. However, it is projected to recover to 747 million yuan in 2024E, with a growth rate of 190.3% [1][10] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from -13.0% in 2023A to 10.4% in 2024E, and further to 18.5% by 2026E [1][10] Business Segments - The embedded storage segment accounted for 44% of the company's revenue in 2023, with a revenue of 44.23 billion yuan and a gross margin of 3.11%. This segment is expected to face challenges in Q3 2024 due to slower-than-expected recovery in consumer electronics [3][7] - The solid-state drive (SSD) segment generated 28.02 billion yuan in revenue in 2023, representing 28% of total revenue, with a gross margin of 5.46%. This segment is anticipated to benefit from the mass shipment of enterprise-grade eSSD products [3][7] Market Position - The company has successfully expanded its international business, with notable growth in overseas revenue, particularly from its Lexar brand, which achieved a global sales increase of 70.6% in H1 2024 [3][4] - The company completed acquisitions in Brazil, enhancing its supply chain resilience and positioning itself favorably in the international market [3][4] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 747 million yuan in 2024, 1,288 million yuan in 2025, and 1,929 million yuan in 2026, with corresponding P/E ratios of 52, 30, and 20 [3][4]
江波龙：24年前3季度归母净利润同比+1.6倍，看好企业级存储加速放量