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房地产基金重仓持仓2024Q3:地产股持仓市值显著提升
Dongxing Securities·2024-10-31 01:02

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the real estate industry, indicating an expectation of performance that exceeds the market benchmark by more than 5% over the next 6 months [5][19]. Core Insights - As of the end of Q3 2024, the total market value of heavy holdings in the real estate sector has significantly increased, marking an end to a continuous decline over the past seven quarters since Q4 2022. This suggests a reduction in the underweight position of funds towards real estate stocks [4][5]. - The central government's policy objectives for the real estate market are shifting from stabilization to promoting stability, indicating a clear intention to support the recovery of the real estate market. Future policies are expected to be more proactive and sustained [4][5]. - The real estate sector is experiencing positive and continuous policy support on both supply and demand sides, suggesting potential investment opportunities in this sector [4]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Overview - As of Q3 2024, the total market value of fund heavy holdings reached 31,447.7 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 18.91%. The market value of real estate heavy holdings increased by 75.42% [2][4]. - The real estate sector ranked 18th among 31 sectors in terms of total market value and accounted for 1.4% of total holdings, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.44 percentage points, ranking 3rd among all sectors [2][4]. Major Companies in Real Estate - The three companies with the largest heavy holdings in real estate stocks as of Q3 2024 are Poly Developments (10.35 billion yuan), China Merchants Shekou (6.92 billion yuan), and Vanke A (3.96 billion yuan). Their respective quarter-on-quarter increases were 3.16 billion yuan, 3.23 billion yuan, and 2.13 billion yuan [3][12]. - The companies with the largest quarter-on-quarter decreases in heavy holdings were Greentown Management Holdings (-0.11 billion yuan), Tianjian Group (-0.08 billion yuan), and Poly Property (-0.06 billion yuan) [3][12]. Market Performance - The real estate sector's heavy holdings market value increased by 75.4% quarter-on-quarter, the highest among all sectors [9][10]. - The average price-to-earnings ratio for the real estate sector is reported at -27.99, indicating a challenging earnings environment [6]. Future Outlook - Key industry events to watch include the release of October real estate data by the National Bureau of Statistics in mid-November 2024 [5].