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华勤技术:Q3营收实现高增,Q4毛利有望环比改善

Investment Rating - Buy (maintained) [1] Core Views - Q3 revenue achieved high growth, with Q4 gross margin expected to improve sequentially [1] - High-performance computing business expanded rapidly, driving revenue growth, particularly in laptops and servers [2] - Automotive electronics grew rapidly, with comprehensive product layout in smart cockpit, smart driving, smart connectivity, and smart vehicle control [2] - Acquisition of Yiluda to enter North American specific customer supply chain, opening long-term growth potential [3] Financial Performance - Q3 2024 revenue: RMB 36.61 billion, +45.4% YoY, +58.0% QoQ [1] - Q3 2024 net profit attributable to parent company: RMB 760 million, +8.0% YoY, +10.6% QoQ [1] - Q3 2024 gross margin: 7.6%, -3.2pct YoY, -2.7pct QoQ [1] - Q3 2024 net margin: 2.1%, -0.7pct YoY, -0.9pct QoQ [1] - 2024E revenue: RMB 106.673 billion, +25% YoY [1] - 2024E net profit attributable to parent company: RMB 2.928 billion, +8% YoY [1] Business Highlights - High-performance computing: AI PC mass production and server/switch deliveries to major clients drove revenue growth [2] - Automotive electronics: Revenue reached RMB 640 million in H1 2024, +102% YoY [2] - Acquisition of Yiluda: Expected to generate cumulative net profit of at least HKD 750 million from 2024 to 2026 [3] Valuation and Forecast - 2024E P/E: 20.1x [1] - 2025E P/E: 16.3x [1] - 2026E P/E: 13.4x [1] - 2024E EPS: RMB 2.88 [1] - 2025E EPS: RMB 3.55 [1] - 2026E EPS: RMB 4.33 [1] Financial Ratios - 2024E ROE: 12% [1] - 2025E ROE: 13% [1] - 2026E ROE: 14% [1] - 2024E debt-to-equity ratio: 47.5% [32] - 2025E debt-to-equity ratio: 140.7% [32] - 2026E debt-to-equity ratio: 53.2% [32]