COSL(601808) 西南证券·2024-10-31 06:37Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for CNOOC Services (601808) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue for Q1-Q3 2024 reached 33.66 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.44 billion yuan, up 7.5% year-on-year. However, Q3 revenue growth slowed to 4.7% year-on-year, with net profit decreasing by 8.8% due to weather impacts [1][2] - The oil service sector shows steady growth, although the utilization rate of semi-submersible platforms declined due to weather conditions. The drilling service segment maintained stable operations, while the oilfield technology service segment saw overall revenue growth [2] - The company benefits from high upstream capital expenditure and a favorable oil and gas market, with global oilfield service market size expected to grow by 7.1% in 2024. CNOOC's capital expenditure for the first three quarters of 2024 was 95.34 billion yuan, a 6.6% increase year-on-year [3] Financial Summary - For 2024-2026, the forecasted net profits attributable to shareholders are 3.52 billion, 4.53 billion, and 5.19 billion yuan, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate of 20%. The corresponding PE ratios are projected to be 21, 16, and 14 times [3][4] - The company's gross margin improved to 17.2% for Q1-Q3 2024, up 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.8%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 2024, the gross margin was 18.1%, and the net margin was 8.3% [2][4]