华旺科技：三季度盈利短期承压，期待后续经营改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 14.64 yuan based on a 12x P/E valuation for 2024 [2][5][7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.851 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 4.45%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 409 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.94% [1] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 905 million yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter declines of 19.44% and 9.06% respectively, and a net profit of 106 million yuan, down 33.89% year-on-year and 31.51% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The decline in Q3 performance is attributed to product sales structure adjustments, lower average sales prices, high raw material costs, and reduced sales due to maintenance during high-temperature seasons [1] - The report anticipates a release of cost pressures in Q4 and a gradual recovery in demand supported by government policies, which may improve profitability [1] Financial Summary - The company’s projected net profits for 2024-2026 are 566 million, 597 million, and 643 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.22, 1.28, and 1.38 yuan [2][4][7] - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 3.991 billion, 4.666 billion, and 5.344 billion yuan, with growth rates of 0.4%, 16.9%, and 14.5% respectively [4][7] - The net profit margin is expected to stabilize around 14.2% for 2024, with a slight decrease to 12.8% and 12.0% in 2025 and 2026 respectively [4][7]