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美年健康2024年三季报业绩点评:Q3收入利润双增长,业绩符合预期

Investment Rating - Maintain "Recommend" rating for Meinian Health [2] Core Views - Meinian Health achieved double-digit growth in both revenue and net profit in Q3 2024, with revenue increasing by 3.6% YoY and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 10.3% YoY [1] - The company's performance is gradually being released, driven by the peak season for the physical examination industry in the second half of the year and stable order volumes in the first half [1] - Public health awareness and aging population are driving sustained growth in proactive health management consumption, prompting the company to shift from single physical examination services to promoting sustainable health consumption [1] - The company is increasing strategic investment in group examination for major clients, optimizing customer structure, and expanding high-quality customers through customized and enterprise-level health management services [2] - Meinian Health is advancing digital marketing and deepening AI strategy, focusing on AI-powered services such as "AI Smart Blood Sugar Management" and "Health Xiaomei" to enhance customer value and brand potential [2] Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2024, Meinian Health reported revenue of 7.141 billion yuan (-1.96% YoY), net profit attributable to shareholders of 25 million yuan (-88.96% YoY), and operating cash flow of -303 million yuan [1] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.935 billion yuan (+3.63% YoY), net profit attributable to shareholders of 240 million yuan (+10.33% YoY), and operating cash flow of 289 million yuan [1] - The company's revenue and net profit are expected to grow steadily, with projected revenue of 11.057 billion yuan, 12.302 billion yuan, and 13.619 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, and net profit of 427 million yuan, 769 million yuan, and 1.012 billion yuan for the same periods [2] Strategic Initiatives - Meinian Health is strengthening its presence in individual examination business through refined operations on platforms like Tmall, JD.com, and Pinduoduo, and enhancing customer retention and conversion through personalized health solutions [2] - The company is building a closed-loop ecosystem through its digital platform, integrating public domain traffic for group examinations and private domain retention for chronic disease management [2] - AI technology is being leveraged to improve medical services, with a focus on projects like "AI Smart Blood Sugar Management" and "Traditional Chinese Medicine Smart Physical Examination" [2] Market Data - As of October 30, 2024, Meinian Health's A-share closing price was 4.32 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 16.7 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 16.7 billion yuan [2] - The company's total share capital is 3.914 billion shares, with 3.872 billion shares in actual circulation [2]