Binjiang Group(002244) 中国银河·2024-11-01 08:01Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2][5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 40.784 billion yuan for Q3 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 12.09%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.633 billion yuan, down 33.94% year-on-year [2] - The decline in net profit was greater than the revenue drop, primarily due to a decrease in gross margin from delivered projects, with a gross margin of 10.43% for the first three quarters of 2024, down 4.56 percentage points from the same period last year [2] - The company has maintained stable sales rankings, achieving a sales area of 1.7 million square meters in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 32.97%, and a sales amount of 80.13 billion yuan, down 34.39% year-on-year [2] - The company has continued to deepen its investment in Hangzhou, acquiring three new land parcels totaling 5.044 billion yuan, with a calculated land acquisition intensity of 23.03% based on a sales scale of 21.9 billion yuan for Q3 [2] - The company has effectively controlled its leverage, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 59.08% and a net debt ratio of 11.54% as of the end of Q3 2024 [2] Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 2.777 billion yuan, 3.116 billion yuan, and 3.293 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.89 yuan, 1.00 yuan, and 1.06 yuan [5][8] - The projected PE ratios for the same years are 11.10X, 9.90X, and 9.36X [5][8] - The company’s revenue for 2024 is estimated at 73.915 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 4.93% [5][8]