牧高笛：自有品牌建设持续投入，期待长期竞争力提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024Q1-Q3 decreased by 6% YoY to RMB 1.08 billion, while net profit attributable to the parent company dropped by 16% YoY to RMB 90 million [1] - In 2024Q3, revenue fell by 17% YoY to RMB 250 million, but net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 2% YoY to RMB 10 million [2] - The company continues to invest in its own brand development, with domestic brand revenue declining by 9% YoY to RMB 611 million in 2024Q1-Q3 [3] - OEM export business revenue decreased by 3% YoY to RMB 469 million in 2024Q1-Q3, but maintained a relatively high gross margin of 27.6% [4] Financial Performance - Gross margin for 2024Q1-Q3 increased by 0.3 percentage points YoY to 28.6%, while net margin decreased by 1.0 percentage points YoY to 8.6% [1] - In 2024Q3, gross margin rose by 0.2 percentage points YoY to 28.3%, and net margin increased by 1.0 percentage points YoY to 5.4% [2] - Inventory turnover days improved by 8.0 days YoY to 196.7 days in 2024Q1-Q3 [4] - Operating cash flow for 2024Q1-Q3 was RMB 160 million, approximately 1.8 times the net profit attributable to the parent company [4] Business Segments - Domestic brand revenue in 2024Q1-Q3 was RMB 611 million, with offline sales performing better than online [3] - The company upgraded its Cold Mountain product line and developed differentiated products for various customer groups and outdoor scenarios [3] - OEM business revenue in 2024Q1-Q3 was RMB 469 million, with a gross margin of 27.6% [4] - The company's tent production capacity ranks among the top in China, with 1.74 million units produced in 2023 [4] Future Outlook - The report forecasts net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 90 million, RMB 100 million, and RMB 114 million for 2024-2026, respectively [5] - The company's PE ratio for 2024 is estimated at 22x [5] - The report expects the company's long-term competitiveness to improve through continuous investment in brand building and product innovation [4] Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to be RMB 1.383 billion, RMB 1.517 billion, and RMB 1.679 billion for 2024-2026, respectively [6] - EPS is forecasted to be RMB 0.97, RMB 1.07, and RMB 1.22 for 2024-2026, respectively [6] - ROE is expected to be 15.6%, 17.1%, and 19.1% for 2024-2026, respectively [6]