QINCHUAN(000837) 东吴证券·2024-11-01 19:37Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 net profit attributable to the parent company turned positive year-on-year, showing a significant improvement [2] - The company released a restricted stock incentive plan, demonstrating confidence in future growth [4] - Despite a challenging manufacturing environment, the company's revenue maintained positive growth [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 865 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.26%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 13 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 166.47% [2] - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.886 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.01%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 56 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 34.31% [2] - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 16.57%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.49 percentage points [3] - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 2.89%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.59 percentage points [3] Equity Incentive Plan - The company released its first restricted stock incentive plan, granting no more than 19 million shares to executives, R&D, and sales personnel [4] - The plan sets performance targets for 2025-2027, including net profit growth, ROE, EVA, and innovation business revenue growth [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts the company's net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024-2026 to be 757 million yuan, 1.3715 billion yuan, and 1.798 billion yuan, respectively [1] - The corresponding EPS for 2024-2026 is forecasted to be 0.07 yuan, 0.14 yuan, and 0.18 yuan per share [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a dynamic PE of 119x, 66x, and 50x for 2024-2026 [5] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is 8.94 yuan [6] - The company's market capitalization is 9.02835 billion yuan [6] - The PB ratio is 1.88x [6] Financial Data - The company's total assets are projected to be 9.788 billion yuan, 11.623 billion yuan, and 10.617 billion yuan for 2024-2026 [10] - The company's net profit margin is expected to improve from 1.39% in 2023 to 3.74% in 2026 [10] - The ROE is forecasted to increase from 1.10% in 2023 to 2.82% in 2026 [11]