Hwaway Technology(001380) 国海证券·2024-11-02 15:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 profitability improved significantly, with gross margin reaching 26.68%, up 1.17pct YoY and 4.52pct QoQ, and net margin at 14.53%, up 1.04pct YoY and 4.03pct QoQ [2] - The company's Q3 2024 revenue was RMB 527 million, up 53.37% YoY and 31.41% QoQ, with net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 72 million, up 58.39% YoY and 77.21% QoQ [3] - The company's revenue growth is driven by the gradual release of new production capacity and increased sales from downstream core customers [4] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of RMB 1.685 billion, RMB 2.088 billion, and RMB 2.561 billion in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 36%, 24%, and 23% [6] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 224 million, RMB 270 million, and RMB 332 million in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with YoY growth rates of 37%, 21%, and 23% [6] Financial Performance - The company's Q3 2024 operating income was RMB 527 million, up 53.37% YoY and 31.41% QoQ [3] - The company's Q3 2024 net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 72 million, up 58.39% YoY and 77.21% QoQ [3] - The company's Q3 2024 operating expenses ratio was 9.67%, optimized by 0.39pct YoY and 0.97pct QoQ [2] - The company's ROE is expected to be 14%, 15%, and 16% in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7] - The company's EPS is expected to be RMB 1.22, RMB 1.48, and RMB 1.81 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [6] Industry and Market Position - The company is a platform-type enterprise in industrial spring manufacturing, benefiting from the increase in electrification penetration, domestic substitution trends, and the release of new production capacity [4] - The company's downstream core customers, such as BYD and Geely, saw Q3 sales increase by 15% and 13% QoQ, respectively [4] - The company's new production capacity projects, including the "New Annual Production of 80 Million High-Performance Springs and Surface Treatment Technical Transformation Project," are expected to be operational by the end of 2024 [4] Valuation and Forecast - The company's P/E ratio is expected to be 19.14, 15.88, and 12.93 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [6] - The company's P/B ratio is expected to be 2.63, 2.37, and 2.10 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7] - The company's P/S ratio is expected to be 2.55, 2.05, and 1.68 in 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [7]