BTG Hotels(600258)2024-11-03 02:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4]. Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 5.89 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 0.4%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 720 million yuan, an increase of 5.6% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.16 billion yuan, down 6.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 370 million yuan, down 9.5% year-on-year [1]. - The hotel and scenic area businesses faced pressure in Q3 due to external macroeconomic conditions and industry supply release, with hotel revenue down 6.3% year-on-year [1]. - The company opened 952 new hotels in the first three quarters, with a significant increase in the number of economy and mid-to-high-end hotels opened in Q3 [2]. - Despite the challenging external environment, the company is focusing on improving store structure and quality, which lays a foundation for growth after the industry recovery [2]. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 840 million yuan, 1.01 billion yuan, and 1.23 billion yuan, respectively [2]. - The projected PE ratios for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 19X, 15X, and 13X, respectively [2]. - Key financial indicators for 2023A and projections for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E include: - Revenue: 7.79 billion yuan (2023A), 7.94 billion yuan (2024E), 8.48 billion yuan (2025E), 9.11 billion yuan (2026E) [2]. - Net profit: 795 million yuan (2023A), 841 million yuan (2024E), 1.01 billion yuan (2025E), 1.23 billion yuan (2026E) [2]. - Gross margin: 38.12% (2023A), 36.72% (2024E), 36.84% (2025E), 38.18% (2026E) [2].