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9月经济数据点评:政策推动下供需端均改善
LIANCHU SECURITIES·2024-11-03 07:31

GDP Performance - In Q3, the actual GDP growth rate was 4.6%, a slight decline from 5.3% in Q2 and 5.0% in Q1[9] - The nominal GDP growth rate was 4.0%, down by 0.1 percentage points from the previous quarter[9] - The GDP deflator index was -0.5%, indicating a narrowing decline compared to previous quarters[9] Industrial Production - The industrial capacity utilization rate increased to 75.1% in Q3, up from 74.9% in Q2[13] - In September, the industrial added value growth rate rebounded to 5.4%, reversing the slowdown trend observed since Q1[14] - The growth in the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry was a major driver, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.1%[14] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment growth in September was 3.4%, returning to the economic range seen in Q2[19] - Broad infrastructure investment saw a cumulative growth rate of 9.3%, significantly up by 1.4 percentage points from the previous month[19] - Real estate investment growth improved to -9.4%, marking the first time it fell below 10% since Q1[20] Consumer Spending - Retail sales growth in September was 3.2%, an increase of 1.1 percentage points from the previous month[29] - Excluding automobile sales, retail sales growth reached 3.6%, up by 0.3 percentage points[29] - The "trade-in" policy significantly boosted consumer spending, with household appliance sales growing by 20.5% in September[29]