Workflow
新能源板块行业周报:供需有望出现显著改善,光伏板块投资机会值得重视
Haitong Securities·2024-11-03 10:11

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the renewable energy sector is "Outperform the Market" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes significant improvements in supply and demand dynamics within the photovoltaic (PV) sector, driven by government initiatives to promote renewable energy and optimize pricing mechanisms [3][4]. - The report suggests that the current supply-demand situation is at a turning point, with leading companies showing substantial performance improvements in their quarterly results, indicating a potential investment opportunity in the PV sector [3]. Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - Recent government directives aim to enhance the implementation of renewable energy alternatives, focusing on optimizing pricing mechanisms, infrastructure, and application scenarios to achieve carbon neutrality goals [3][4]. - The report highlights the importance of energy consumption and production restrictions in improving the supply-demand balance across the entire PV industry chain, suggesting a strong recommendation to focus on the upcoming opportunities in the PV sector [3]. Price Tracking of the Photovoltaic Industry Chain - The report provides a detailed price tracking of various components in the PV industry, indicating that prices for polysilicon, silicon wafers, batteries, and modules have remained stable over the recent period [5][7][10]. - For instance, the average price of dense polysilicon is reported at 40.0 CNY/kg, with silicon wafer prices for P-type 182/210 at 1.20 and 1.70 CNY/piece, respectively, showing no significant changes [5][7]. Market Performance and Valuation - The PV sector has experienced a recent weekly decline of 2.65%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.18 percentage points, and has shown a cumulative year-to-date performance of 4.83%, lagging behind the index by 19.73 percentage points [6][13]. - As of November 1, 2024, the sector's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 21.01, indicating a mid-range valuation compared to other sectors, with a historical decline in valuation since the end of 2021 [14][15]. Key Developments - The report notes the issuance of guidelines by six government departments to promote renewable energy, including the establishment of a pricing mechanism for energy storage and encouraging distributed renewable energy generation to participate in market transactions [16][17]. - The focus is also on enhancing renewable energy resource assessment, power forecasting, and the application of new technologies to improve the overall efficiency of the energy sector [16][17].