CCB(601939) 国泰君安·2024-11-03 11:42Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for China Construction Bank [4][3] Core Views - The performance of China Construction Bank in Q3 2024 slightly exceeded expectations, with a positive growth rate in net profit for the quarter. However, the bank continues to face downward pressure on its interest margin, while asset quality remains stable [3][4] - The net profit growth forecast for China Construction Bank has been adjusted to 0.47% for 2024, 1.15% for 2025, and 2.78% for 2026, with corresponding EPS estimates of 1.34, 1.35, and 1.39 yuan respectively. The target price has been raised to 9.29 yuan, reflecting a 0.72 times PB for 2024 [3][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the bank's revenue growth rate was -2.7% year-on-year, with net interest income declining by 7.3% due to slowing credit growth and narrowing interest margins. However, non-interest income saw a significant increase of 107.5%, primarily driven by foreign exchange business, which generated 4.51 billion yuan in Q3 [3][4] - The bank's Q3 2024 net profit growth rebounded to 3.8%, aided by a 24.5% reduction in impairment losses, resulting in a total of 21.9 billion yuan for the quarter [3][4] Asset and Liability Management - As of the end of Q3 2024, total assets grew by 8.1% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 9.0%. The bank added 307 billion yuan in loans during the quarter, with retail loans contributing 36.7 billion yuan [3][4] - Total liabilities increased by 8.2% year-on-year, while deposits grew by 2.5%. The net interest margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 1.52%, a decrease of 2 basis points from the first half of the year [3][4] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.35% as of Q3 2024, with a provision coverage ratio of 237%, down by 1.7 percentage points from the previous quarter [3][4]