策略观点:A股基本面底部尚未明确,三季报后关注反转策略
China Post Securities·2024-11-04 07:10

Group 1 - The overall fundamentals of A-shares have not yet clarified, with the net profit attributable to shareholders showing a year-on-year increase of 4.73% for the first time this year, while operating revenue decreased by 1.56% [5][6] - The operating revenue of the entire A-share market remains under pressure, with a notable decline in growth rates compared to the mid-year report, indicating a divergence in the recovery process among different industries [5][7] - The third quarter report lacks unexpected surprises, but the probability of underperformance has significantly decreased, suggesting that the performance center and expectations are gradually converging, which is beneficial for a potential rebound in A-share performance [13][14] Group 2 - The third quarter report indicates a significant improvement in the non-bank financial sector, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 43.67%, while other sectors like textiles and automobiles saw declines exceeding 5% [7][8] - The divergence in net profit growth among industries is more pronounced than that of revenue, with sectors like agriculture, non-bank financials, and retail showing improvements of over 100% [10][11] - A strategy focusing on performance reversal post-third quarter is recommended, particularly in cyclical industries such as food and beverage, coal, non-bank financials, automotive, and non-ferrous metals, which have a higher proportion of performance reversal stocks [17][18]