10月百强房企月度销售报告:10月销售同比年内首次转正,新政对市场具有提振作用
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2024-11-04 08:13

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [1] Core Insights - October sales for the top 100 real estate companies showed the first year-on-year positive growth, driven by policy stimulus and the "Golden September and Silver October" effect [2][6] - Despite the increase in October sales, the cumulative sales from January to October still reflect a significant decline of 33% year-on-year [2][6] - The top 10 real estate companies demonstrated a smaller decline in sales compared to other tiers, indicating a more resilient performance [2][6][12] Summary by Sections October Sales Performance - In October, the top 100 companies achieved a sales amount of 4,354.1 billion yuan, marking a 7.0% year-on-year increase and a 73.0% month-on-month increase [2][6] - Cumulative sales from January to October for the top 100 companies reached 30,692.7 billion yuan, down 32.7% year-on-year [2][6] Company Performance - China Overseas Land & Investment led the monthly sales with 395.2 billion yuan, followed by Poly Developments and Holdings, China Resources Land, and Greentown China [12] - The top 10 companies had a cumulative sales decline of 28.2%, while the top 21-30 companies faced a decline of 39.2% [2][6][12] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining an "Overweight" rating for the industry, highlighting several reasons for optimism, including the potential for policy support and the improved competitive landscape favoring leading state-owned enterprises and quality private firms [2][12] - Recommended stocks include Poly Developments, China Overseas Land & Investment, and China Resources Land among others [2][12][14]