中国人保：投资端带动净利润大幅增长，寿险NBV同比翻倍

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in net profit driven by investment performance, with a notable doubling of the new business value (NBV) in the life insurance segment [4][6] - The company reported a net profit of 36.3 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 77.2%, with a third-quarter net profit of 13.6 billion yuan, showing a nearly 21-fold increase year-on-year [4] - The report emphasizes the competitive advantage of the company's property insurance business, particularly in the auto insurance sector, which is expected to enhance profitability compared to smaller competitors [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a net profit of 36.3 billion yuan, up 77.2% year-on-year, with a third-quarter net profit of 13.6 billion yuan, marking a nearly 21-fold increase [4] - The total net assets at the end of Q3 stood at 267.7 billion yuan, reflecting a 10.4% increase from the beginning of the year [4] Property Insurance - The property insurance segment reported a net profit of 26.8 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a 38% increase year-on-year, with a third-quarter net profit of 9.3 billion yuan, showing a nearly 60-fold increase year-on-year [5] - Total premium income for the first three quarters increased by 4.6%, with auto insurance and health insurance premiums growing by 3.2% and 8.0%, respectively [5] Life and Health Insurance - The life insurance segment reported a net profit of 15.6 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 7.6 times, with new single premium income in Q3 increasing by 122% [6] - The health insurance segment achieved a net profit of 5.6 billion yuan, up 41% year-on-year, with first-year premiums growing by 11% [6] Investment Performance - The company reported total investment income of 27.5 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a 70.4% increase year-on-year, with an annualized total investment return rate of 4.4% [6] - The growth in investment income was attributed to a recovery in the capital market and an increase in secondary equity investments [6] Valuation - The report provides a valuation range for the company between 8.21 and 8.90 yuan per share, based on a segmented valuation approach [7][9] - The estimated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2024 is projected at 14.06, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is estimated at 1.31 [16]