XCMG(000425) 中国银河·2024-11-04 09:31Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's performance is strong, with continuous improvement in profitability. For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 68.726 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.11%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders reached 5.309 billion yuan, an increase of 9.71% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 7.72%, up 0.97 percentage points [2][3]. - The domestic demand for earth-moving machinery is recovering, while overseas expansion in emerging markets shows positive trends. The internal sales of excavators increased by 2.5% year-on-year in September, and the cumulative growth rate for the first nine months was 8.6%. However, sales of construction cranes and tower cranes remain weak, reflecting ongoing pressure in the real estate sector [3][4]. - The company has improved its cost control efficiency, with a stable cash flow. The operating cash flow for the first three quarters reached 2.044 billion yuan, an increase of 400 million yuan compared to the same period last year [3][4]. Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 6.398 billion yuan, 7.906 billion yuan, and 9.480 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 15, 12, and 10 times [4][5]. - Key financial indicators for 2024 include a revenue of 98.382 billion yuan, a profit margin of 23.74%, and an EPS of 0.54 yuan [5][11].