艾罗能源：2024年三季报点评：盈利能力保持坚挺，新业务拓展有望贡献增量

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for Airo Energy (688717) with a target price of 66.08 CNY [1] Core Views - Airo Energy's profitability remains strong, with new business expansion expected to contribute incremental growth [1] - The company's revenue for Q1-Q3 2024 was 2.407 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 39.93%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 160 million CNY, down 84.24% year-on-year [1] - In Q3 2024, revenue was 823 million CNY, up 35.39% year-on-year but down 8.45% quarter-on-quarter, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 57 million CNY, up 33.96% year-on-year but down 16.77% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company's gross margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 37.26%, down 3.92 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin attributable to shareholders was 6.67%, down 18.74 percentage points year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024E is projected at 3.41 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 23.8%, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be 268 million CNY, down 74.8% year-on-year [3] - For 2025E, revenue is forecasted to grow by 14.6% to 3.908 billion CNY, with net profit attributable to shareholders increasing by 97.2% to 529 million CNY [3] - In 2026E, revenue is expected to reach 4.805 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 22.9%, with net profit attributable to shareholders projected at 665 million CNY, up 25.8% year-on-year [3] Business Expansion - Airo Energy is actively expanding its new business, with large-scale energy storage products entering the R&D investment phase [2] - The company plans to invest at least 1.05 billion CNY in the construction of a "Large-scale Energy Storage System and Smart Energy System R&D and Production Project" [2] - New products such as micro-inverters, commercial and industrial storage, and charging piles are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [2] Market Development - Airo Energy has obtained over 1,100 domestic and international certifications for its products, enabling market access in different countries and enhancing brand recognition [2] - The company's sales network covers more than 80 countries and regions, with subsidiaries established in developed markets such as the UK, US, Netherlands, Japan, and Germany [2] Valuation - The current market value of Airo Energy is 9.21 billion CNY, with a circulating market value of 1.842 billion CNY [4] - The company's P/E ratio for 2024E is 34x, expected to decrease to 17x in 2025E and 14x in 2026E [3] - The target price of 66.08 CNY is based on a 20x P/E ratio for 2025E [2]