CHANGHONG HUAYI(000404) 西南证券·2024-11-04 13:00Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Hold" rating for Changhong Huayi (000404) [1] Core Views - The company's core business continues to grow, with multiple factors contributing to profit enhancement despite a revenue decline [1][2] - The company is a leading player in the refrigerator compressor market, demonstrating strong profitability through product structure adjustments and innovation [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 9.69 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.7%, primarily due to reduced sales of raw materials and components, as well as the non-consolidation of the Grambo equity after its divestment [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 380 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.7%, while the non-recurring net profit was 350 million yuan, up 23.6% [1] - For Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 2.96 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of 150 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 35.2% [1] Business Stability - The company's compressor business is expected to maintain stable revenue in Q3 2024, supported by strong export growth and domestic demand stimulated by the appliance replacement policy [2] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 16%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to product structure optimization and cost control measures [2] Profitability and Forecast - The company has strong liquidity, with cash and cash equivalents totaling 5.1 billion yuan, bolstered by investments in structured deposits and other financial products [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 are 0.69 yuan, 0.80 yuan, and 0.93 yuan, respectively, indicating a solid growth trajectory [3][4]