DEC(600875) Great Wall Securities·2024-11-05 07:29Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index within the next six months [16]. Core Views - The company has seen a significant increase in new effective orders, with a total of 812.51 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.5% [2]. - The company's gross margin has shown a notable recovery, reaching 16.6% in the third quarter, up by 4 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating improved profitability [2]. - The company is positioned as a key player in China's energy equipment sector, playing an important role in the construction of the "new power system" [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2022 was 54,190 million yuan, with a projected increase to 65,939 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 10.7% [1][3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 2,858 million yuan in 2022, expected to rise to 3,832 million yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 7.9% [1][3]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 8.8% in 2023 to 9.1% in 2024 [1][10]. Order and Inventory Insights - The company’s inventory increased significantly to 222.55 billion yuan by the end of the third quarter, up 33.1% from the previous quarter, indicating strong future delivery expectations [2]. - The third quarter saw a decrease in revenue to 140.97 billion yuan, down 3.28% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 2.6% to 9.33 billion yuan [1][2]. Earnings Per Share and Valuation Metrics - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from 1.14 yuan in 2023 to 1.23 yuan in 2024, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios decreasing from 13.5 to 12.5 [1][3]. - The company’s price-to-book (P/B) ratio is expected to decline from 1.3 in 2023 to 1.2 in 2024, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [1][10].