鸣志电器：Q3费用率提升业绩承压，静待新兴领域业务起量

Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the company, indicating a cautious approach due to current performance challenges [2][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.83 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 4.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 47.27 million yuan, down 43.69% year-on-year [1][2]. - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 565 million yuan, a decline of 7.42% year-on-year, with a net profit of 7.24 million yuan, reflecting a significant drop of 76.38% year-on-year [2][3]. - The increase in expense ratios, particularly in management and R&D, has pressured the company's performance, with the overall expense ratio rising to 33.45% for Q1-3 2024, up 2.65 percentage points year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is focusing on emerging high-value application areas such as robotics, semiconductors, and new energy vehicles, which are expected to drive future growth despite current challenges in traditional downstream demand [3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For 2024E, the company is projected to generate a revenue of 2.56 billion yuan, with a slight growth rate of 1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 870 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 37.85% [2][3]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 37.98%, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.31 percentage points, indicating some resilience in profitability despite revenue declines [2][3]. Expense Analysis - The sales expense ratio for Q1-3 2024 was 9.01%, while management and R&D expenses increased significantly, contributing to the overall rise in the expense ratio [2][3]. - In Q3 2024, the sales expense ratio reached 37.71%, an increase of 8.75 percentage points year-on-year, highlighting the impact of rising operational costs on profitability [2][3]. Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024-2025, now expecting net profits of 870 million yuan in 2024, 1.39 billion yuan in 2025, and 1.82 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding P/E ratios of 240, 151, and 115 [3]. - The strategic focus on high-growth sectors is anticipated to provide a pathway for recovery and growth, despite the current downturn in traditional markets [3].