Longi(601012) 东方财富·2024-11-05 08:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [6][7]. Core Insights - The company's profitability signals have shown improvement, with expectations for gradual recovery in performance due to policy guidance and supply-side optimization in the photovoltaic industry [7]. - The company achieved a significant reduction in net loss in Q3, with a notable increase in gross margin, suggesting a potential stabilization in industry pricing [1][3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company shipped 82.80 GW of silicon wafers, with external sales of 35.03 GW, representing a year-on-year decline of 4.22%. The company also sold 4.16 GW of monocrystalline batteries and 51.23 GW of modules, with a year-on-year increase of 17.70% in module shipments [1]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 585.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 37.73%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 65.05 billion yuan, down 155.62% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 200.64 billion yuan, a decrease of 31.87% year-on-year, but a sequential increase of 56.40% in net loss [3][7]. Profitability Forecast - The report adjusts the profit forecast, estimating revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 858 billion yuan, 1,075 billion yuan, and 1,284 billion yuan, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be -74 billion yuan, 35 billion yuan, and 67 billion yuan for the same years, with corresponding EPS of -0.97, 0.47, and 0.89 yuan per share [7][8]. Capacity Expansion - The company currently has a production capacity of 1.5 GW for the second-generation HPBC batteries, with plans to expand to 50 GW by the end of 2025. The Hi-M09 module has seen successful market penetration across various regions, including China, Europe, the Middle East, Asia-Pacific, and Latin America [2].