Investment Rating - The investment rating for the renewable energy sector is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1]. Core Insights - The photovoltaic (PV) industry faced significant pressure in the first three quarters of 2024, with total revenue of 727.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 21.03%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 4.465 billion yuan, down 95.87% year-on-year. The average gross margin for the sector was 14.02%, a decline of 8.91 percentage points year-on-year [2][10]. - The report highlights a notable improvement in the main material segment, with a recovery in profitability for PV equipment, which saw a net profit growth of 9.58% year-on-year. However, other segments such as inverters, component auxiliary materials, and power stations experienced declines in net profit [2][10]. - The report emphasizes that the domestic demand for photovoltaics is expected to grow steadily due to favorable policies, and structural reforms on the supply side are likely to help the industry return to a normal trajectory. Emerging overseas markets are also showing rapid growth in demand [5]. Summary by Sections 1. Photovoltaic Quarterly Overview - In Q3 2024, the PV sector achieved total revenue of 243.796 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 23.11%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 669 million yuan, with an average gross margin of 13.74%, down 7.93 percentage points year-on-year [3][10]. - The main material segment saw a significant recovery, with net profits for PV equipment and inverters increasing by 3.50% and 11.54% respectively on a quarter-on-quarter basis [3][4]. 2. Operational Quality Analysis - The operating cash flow for the PV sector in Q3 2024 was 27.249 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.0% but an increase of 224.2% quarter-on-quarter. Most segments showed improvement in cash flow, with the battery component segment experiencing a 275% increase [4]. - The total monetary funds for the PV sector were 299.259 billion yuan, showing a slight decline quarter-on-quarter, with segments like PV equipment and battery components seeing increases of 16.7% and 4.3% respectively [4]. 3. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on companies involved in silicon materials (Tongwei Co., GCL-Poly Energy, Daqo New Energy, TBEA), integrated components (JinkoSolar, JA Solar, Trina Solar, Canadian Solar, Hengtong Group), inverters (Sungrow Power Supply, Deye Technology, Ginlong Technologies, GoodWe, Aiko Solar), and new technologies (LONGi Green Energy, Aiko Solar, Dier Laser, Mibet). It highlights the potential for growth in the PV industry driven by carbon neutrality and the global economic viability of renewable energy [5].
新能源板块行业专题报告:光伏板块环比改善明显,底部拐点性机会值得重视
Haitong Securities·2024-11-05 11:33