BTBP(600161) 太平洋·2024-11-06 06:10Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of over 15% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [8][12]. Core Views - The revenue is under short-term pressure, but long-term growth is anticipated due to various strategic initiatives and market conditions [1][10]. - The company reported a revenue of 4.073 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.28%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.052 billion yuan, up 18.52% year-on-year [2][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.232 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.44% year-on-year, with a net profit of 326 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 1.57% [2][5]. - The overall gross margin improved by 5.72 percentage points to 55.33% for the first three quarters of 2024, driven by a balanced supply-demand situation leading to higher product prices [5][9]. Growth Potential - The company has expanded its plasma collection stations, with 80 operational stations and a total of 102 stations as of June 30, 2024. The acquisition of Zhongyuan Ruide is expected to enhance plasma resource availability [3][4]. - The launch of the fourth-generation 10% concentration intravenous immunoglobulin product is progressing well, with multiple provinces already included in the network, indicating potential for significant market penetration [4][10]. Profitability Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 5.710 billion yuan, 6.956 billion yuan, and 8.194 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 10%, 22%, and 18% [5][9]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.372 billion yuan, 1.659 billion yuan, and 1.995 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 24%, 21%, and 20% [5][9].