KINGSINO(002548) 华鑫证券·2024-11-06 10:23Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add" investment rating for the company Jin Xin Nong [1][3]. Core Insights - The company's feed business has successfully reduced costs and increased revenue, leading to a significant profit increase in Q3. The total revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 3.437 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.03%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 27.9 million yuan, showing a substantial turnaround from losses in the same period of 2023 [1][2]. - The company has seen a notable decrease in breeding costs, with the cost of raising commercial pigs at 14.2 yuan per kilogram, and the best-performing farms achieving costs as low as 12 yuan per kilogram. This reduction is attributed to lower feed raw material prices and improved production metrics [1][2]. - The company has also upgraded its existing production capacity, with pig output reaching 886,000 heads in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 14.01% [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3, the company reported a revenue of 1.284 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.71%. The feed business generated 789 million yuan, while the breeding business contributed 445 million yuan. Feed sales volume increased by 20% to 590,100 tons [1][2]. - The forecast for the company's revenue from 2024 to 2026 is 5.16 billion, 6.14 billion, and 7.049 billion yuan, respectively, with EPS projected at 0.21, 0.30, and 0.29 yuan [3][5]. Cost Management - The company has effectively managed breeding costs, with a significant reduction in costs due to improved management and production metrics. The breeding cost for piglets is approximately 338 yuan per head, with the best farms achieving costs between 290-300 yuan per head [1][2]. Capital Structure - As of the end of Q3, the company's debt-to-asset ratio was 72.22%, a decrease of 1.33 percentage points compared to the first half of 2024. The company aims to continue improving its operational efficiency and cash flow [1][2].