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建筑工程2024三季报总结:Q3收入继续承压但利润降幅收窄,现金流大幅好转
Haitong Securities·2024-11-06 10:56

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the construction industry [1]. Core Insights - The construction industry experienced a revenue decline of 5.09% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2024, with a significant drop in growth rate by 11.57 percentage points [9][10]. - The industry is facing pressure from ongoing declines in infrastructure investment and weak real estate performance, leading to a continued decrease in revenue across various segments [18][19]. - Despite the challenges, there are signs of improvement in cash flow, particularly in Q3 2024, where the industry saw a significant cash inflow compared to the previous year [14][11]. Summary by Sections 1. Revenue Performance - In Q1-Q3 2024, the construction industry achieved a revenue of 61,585 billion, down 5.09% year-on-year, with quarterly revenues showing a trend of -7.82% and -8.18% in Q2 and Q3 respectively [9][10]. - The chemical engineering sector was the only segment to show positive revenue growth of 1.91% during the same period [18]. 2. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for the industry increased by 0.05 percentage points to 10.06% in Q1-Q3 2024, while the net profit margin decreased by 0.20 percentage points to 2.23% [9][10]. - The net profit for the first three quarters was 1,371.41 billion, reflecting a decrease of 12.66% year-on-year [9][10]. 3. Cash Flow Analysis - The industry reported a significant improvement in cash flow in Q3 2024, with a net cash inflow of 172.31 billion, a substantial increase from a net outflow of 461.81 billion in Q3 2023 [14][11]. - The cash collection ratio improved by 5.26 percentage points, while the cash payment ratio decreased by 0.49 percentage points in Q3 2024 [14]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on state-owned enterprises with low price-to-book ratios and high dividend yields, as well as companies involved in the low-altitude economy [1][10].