Hundsun(SH:600570) Southwest Securities·2024-11-07 12:24Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 38.25 CNY over the next six months [1][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a strong performance in Q3, with a significant increase in net profit due to the fair value changes of other non-current financial assets. However, the overall revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 decreased by 4.1% year-on-year [2][10]. - The core business segments, particularly in wealth technology and insurance, showed promising results, with the new generation core products progressing well [2][10]. - The company is actively enhancing its management reforms, leading to improved efficiency and cost management [2][10]. - The financial innovation and transformation (信创) initiatives are being fully promoted, with expectations for significant demand release in the future [2][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.19 billion CNY, a decrease of 4.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of 450 million CNY, down 26.6% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 1.35 billion CNY, a decline of 12.3%, while net profit surged by 159.2% to 420 million CNY due to asset disposals [2][10]. - The company’s gross margin decreased by 2.58 percentage points to 69.3%, and the net profit margin fell by 5.93 percentage points to 6.4% [2][10]. Business Segments - Revenue from wealth technology, asset management technology, and core insurance technology for the first three quarters was 800 million CNY, 1.01 billion CNY, and 470 million CNY, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -20.3%, -3.4%, and +16.7% [2][10]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its core systems, with successful implementations reported for UF3.0 and O45 across various clients [2][10]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts EPS of 0.77 CNY, 0.85 CNY, and 0.98 CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 40, 36, and 31 [10][12]. - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 73.64 billion CNY, 80.62 billion CNY, and 88.74 billion CNY, reflecting growth rates of 1.1%, 9.5%, and 10.1% [10][12].