Linyang Energy(601222) 华鑫证券·2024-11-07 14:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][7] Core Views - The company's performance shows steady growth, with revenue and net profit increasing by 8.76% and 6.95% respectively in the first three quarters of 2024 [5] - The company's three major businesses (smart meters, new energy, and energy storage) are developing synergistically, with strong demand for smart meters both domestically and internationally [6][7] - The company's new energy power station scale has reached 1.342GW, with most stations located in regions with strong new energy consumption capacity [6] - The company's joint venture energy storage PACK factory in Saudi Arabia is under construction and expected to start production in Q4 2024 [7] Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.703 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.63%, and net profit of 312 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.41% [5] - The company's gross margin and net margin for Q3 2024 were 34.65% and 18.39% respectively [5] - The company's revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2024 were 5.166 billion yuan and 910 million yuan respectively [5] Business Segments Smart Meter Business - Domestic demand for smart meters is strong, with State Grid increasing its bidding batches and total equipment bidding reaching 89.33 million units, a 25% year-on-year increase [6] - The company has secured overseas smart meter orders from Poland and Saudi Arabia, with contract amounts totaling over 1.1 billion yuan [6] New Energy Business - The company's self-operated new energy power stations have reached a scale of 1.342GW (1.155GW photovoltaic and 187MW wind power) [6] - Most of the power stations are located in regions with strong new energy consumption capacity, such as Anhui and Jiangsu [6] Energy Storage Business - The company's joint venture energy storage PACK factory in Saudi Arabia is under construction and expected to start production in Q4 2024 [7] Financial Forecasts - The company's revenue is forecasted to be 10.079 billion yuan, 13.024 billion yuan, and 15.662 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [7][11] - Net profit is expected to be 1.184 billion yuan, 1.421 billion yuan, and 1.660 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [11] - EPS is projected to be 0.57 yuan, 0.69 yuan, and 0.81 yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [7][11] - The company's ROE is expected to increase from 7.3% in 2024 to 9.2% in 2026 [11]