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传媒行业专题研究:前三季度业绩承压,关注后续修复空间
Zhongyuan Securities·2024-11-08 12:11

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the media industry, indicating a cautious outlook amidst current challenges [2]. Core Insights - The media sector achieved a record high revenue of 397.67 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a slight increase of 0.16% year-on-year, but experienced a significant decline in profit, with net profit attributable to shareholders dropping by 33.05% to 23.36 billion yuan [3][9][19]. - All sub-sectors within the media industry reported declining performance, with the film sector facing the largest drop due to weak market demand, while the gaming and internet media sectors saw smaller declines [3][24]. - Future recovery is anticipated as government policies aimed at boosting domestic consumption are expected to positively impact cultural consumption areas such as film, offline entertainment, and gaming [3][4]. Summary by Sections 1. Media Sector Performance Review - The media sector's revenue reached 397.67 billion yuan, marking the highest for the same period historically, but net profit fell to 23.36 billion yuan, a decrease of 33.05% [9][19]. - The overall gross profit for the sector was 118.39 billion yuan, down 2.18%, with a gross margin of 29.77%, reflecting a decline [19][20]. - All sub-sectors experienced profit declines, with the film sector being the most affected [23][24]. 2. Key Sub-Sector Performance Review 2.1 Gaming - The gaming sector achieved a revenue of 593.95 billion yuan, an increase of 8.19%, but net profit decreased by 18.79% to 73.91 billion yuan [26][28]. - The gaming market's actual sales revenue reached 2390.33 billion yuan, up 4.61% year-on-year, with mobile games contributing significantly [26][27]. - The issuance of game licenses has increased, indicating a more favorable regulatory environment for the gaming industry [27][28]. 2.2 Film - The film sector's revenue and profit were significantly impacted by weak market demand, with a notable decline in performance [3][24]. 2.3 Advertising - The advertising sector showed slight recovery in demand, which may positively influence profitability in the near future [4][24]. 2.4 Broadcasting and Television - The broadcasting and television sector continued to face pressure, with ongoing declines in performance [3][24]. 2.5 Internet Media - The internet media sector experienced a decline in profits, but the impact was relatively smaller compared to other sectors [3][24]. 2.6 Publishing - The publishing sector's profits were affected by changes in tax policies, but a return to normalcy is expected by 2025 [4][24].