——市场分析 相关报告 分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 航天电网行业领涨 A 股小幅上行 《市场分析：电子半导体领涨 A 股震荡整理》 2026-01-16 《市场分析：电池半导体领涨 A 股震荡整理》 2026-01-15 《市场分析：软件互联网领涨 A 股冲高回落》 2026-01-14 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2026 年 01 月 19 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周一（01 月 19 日）A 股市场低开高走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指低 开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在 4126 点附近遭遇阻力，午后股指维持震 荡，盘中电网设备、贵金属、航天航空以及通用设备等行业表现较 好；互联网服务、文化传媒、通信设备以及软件开发等行业表现较 弱，沪指全天基本呈现小幅震荡上行的运行特征。创业板市场周一 震荡回落，创业板成分指数全天表现弱于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判及 ...

资料来源：中原证券研究所，Wind 锂电池 分析师：牟国洪 登记编码：S0730513030002 mough@ccnew.com 021-50586980 产业链价格总体上涨，板块可关注 ——锂电池行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 发布日期：2026 年 01 月 19 日 锂电池相对沪深 300 指数表现 ⚫ 12 月锂电池板块指数走势弱于沪深 300 指数。2025 年 12 月，锂 电池指数下跌 1.04%，新能源汽车指数上涨 4.70%，而同期沪深 300 指数上涨 2.28%，锂电池指数走势弱于沪深 300 指数。 风险提示：行业政策执行力度不及预期；细分领域价格大幅波动；新 能源汽车销量不及预期；行业竞争加剧；系统风险。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 20页 投资要点： 电话： 0371-65585629 021-50586973 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道1788 号T1 座22 楼上海浦东新区世纪大道1788 号T1 座22 ...

锂电池 分析师：牟国洪 登记编码：S0730513030002 mough@ccnew.com 021-50586980 产业链价格总体上涨，板块可关注 ——锂电池行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 发布日期：2026 年 01 月 19 日 锂电池相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券研究所，Wind 相关报告 《锂电池行业月报：月度占比再创新高，板块 持续关注》 2025-12-15 《锂电池行业年度策略：政策高景气，储能超 预期》 2025-11-19 《锂电池行业月报：量价齐升，板块积极关注》 2025-11-12 联系人：李智 马嵚琦 ⚫ 12 月锂电池板块指数走势弱于沪深 300 指数。2025 年 12 月，锂 电池指数下跌 1.04%，新能源汽车指数上涨 4.70%，而同期沪深 300 指数上涨 2.28%，锂电池指数走势弱于沪深 300 指数。 风险提示：行业政策执行力度不及预期；细分领域价格大幅波动；新 能源汽车销量不及预期；行业竞争加剧；系统风险。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 20页 投资要点 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 证券研究报告-晨会聚焦 发布日期：2026 年 01 月 19 日 【财经要闻】 1、1 月 17 日，中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局发布关于调整商业 用房购房贷款最低首付款比例政策的通知称，商业用房（含"商住两用 房"）购房贷款最低首付款比例调整为不低于 30%。 2、据中国汽车动力电池产业创新联盟统计，2025 年我国动力和储能电池 累计产量为 1755.6GWh，同比增长 60.1%；动力和储能电池累计销量为 1700.5GWh，同比增长 63.6%。 3、我国芯片制造核心装备取得重要突破。近日，由中核集团中国原子能 科学研究院自主研制的我国首台串列型高能氢离子注入机（POWER- 750H）成功出束，核心指标达到国际先进水平。 资料来源：Wind，财联社，澎湃新闻 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -9% -2% 5% 12% 19% 26% 33% 40% 2025.01 2025.05 2025.09 2026.01 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | 指数名称 ...

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "stronger than the market," indicating an expected relative increase of over 10% compared to the CSI 300 index within the next six months [15]. Core Insights - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations with a high opening, facing resistance around 4140 points, and sectors like consumer electronics, semiconductors, electronic components, and photovoltaic equipment performed well, while internet services, cultural media, energy metals, and mining sectors lagged [2][3][7]. - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are 16.88 times and 53.38 times, respectively, which are above the median levels of the past three years, suggesting a favorable environment for medium to long-term investments [3][14]. - The trading volume on January 16 was 30,568 billion, indicating active market participation, with a notable increase in margin financing balances, suggesting a clear influx of new capital [3][14]. - The continuous decline in domestic risk-free interest rates and the trend of household savings moving towards equity markets are providing a robust liquidity environment, enhancing the attractiveness of RMB assets and boosting market risk appetite [3][14]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a slight increase year-on-year in December 2025, indicating marginal improvements in domestic demand [3][14]. - The report anticipates that the current market rally is likely to continue, recommending a dual focus on technological innovation and the recovery of traditional industries for investment strategies [3][14]. Summary by Sections A-share Market Overview - On January 16, the A-share market showed slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4,101.91 points, down 0.26%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 14,281.08 points, down 0.18% [7][8]. - The market saw over 50% of stocks decline, with sectors like semiconductors, electric machinery, and electronic chemicals leading in gains, while cultural media and mining sectors faced significant losses [7][9]. Future Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the Shanghai Composite Index is likely to maintain a slight upward trend, advising investors to closely monitor macroeconomic data, changes in overseas liquidity, and policy developments [3][14]. - Short-term investment opportunities are highlighted in sectors such as consumer electronics, semiconductors, electronic components, and photovoltaic equipment [3][14].

Core Insights - The report highlights a downward adjustment in the central bank's re-lending and rediscount rates by 0.25 percentage points, effective January 19, 2026, with the one-year re-lending rate decreasing from 1.5% to 1.25% [4][8] - The report indicates a significant increase in the re-lending quota for technological innovation and transformation, raising it from 800 billion to 1.2 trillion yuan, with a focus on supporting small and medium-sized private enterprises [5][8] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing robust growth, with a 29.8% year-on-year increase in global semiconductor sales in November 2025, marking the 25th consecutive month of growth [19][20] - The gaming industry is steadily growing, with animation films leading box office growth, indicating a strong market demand [26][29] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,112.60, down 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14,306.73, up 0.41% [3] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 16.88 and 53.38, respectively, indicating a favorable long-term investment environment [9][10] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down 0.67%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also saw declines of 0.45% and 0.15%, respectively [4] Industry Analysis - The chemical industry is experiencing a slowdown in price declines, with a focus on sectors such as pesticides and polyester filament [15][16] - The semiconductor sector is highlighted for its strong performance, with a 5.11% increase in December 2025, outperforming the broader market indices [18] - The food and beverage sector is under pressure, with a 4.05% decline in December 2025, particularly affecting traditional categories like liquor and meat products [22][23] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors with strong growth potential, such as technology innovation and traditional industry recovery, while also highlighting opportunities in the semiconductor and gaming industries [9][10][20] - Specific investment opportunities are recommended in the beverage and snack sectors, particularly in companies like Baoli Food and Dongpeng Beverage [24][26]

Economic Performance - In November 2025, Henan's industrial production maintained strong momentum with a year-on-year growth of 8.0%, surpassing the national average by 3.2 percentage points [21][24] - The province's social retail sales reached 2691.99 billion yuan, growing by 4.4% year-on-year, which is 3.1 percentage points higher than the national average [22][24] - Fixed asset investment in Henan increased by 4.3% year-on-year, outperforming the national average by 6.9 percentage points [23][24] Market Overview - In 2025, the Henan Index rose by 44.02%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 25.61 percentage points and the CSI 300 Index by 26.36 percentage points [55][57] - The top three A-share performers in Henan were Shijia Photon (442.55%), Litong Technology (217.20%), and Guojin Precision (212.43%) [60] - The top three H-share performers were Lingbao Gold (527.26%), Weiye Holdings (407.63%), and Luoyang Molybdenum (281.05%) [60] Company Listings - As of the end of 2025, Henan had a total of 138 listed companies, including 113 A-shares and 31 H-shares, maintaining its rankings at 12th and 9th nationally [65] - In 2025, only one new company was added to the listings in Henan, which was Aerospace Hongtu, migrating from Beijing to Hebi [65] - There were no IPOs completed in Henan in 2025, with only Shenglong Co. passing the review and awaiting issuance [65] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on three key themes for investment in 2026: the integration of the real economy and digital economy, strategic mergers and acquisitions driven by state-owned enterprise reforms, and companies related to the health and elderly care industries [6]

Market Overview - On January 15, the A-share market experienced a slight fluctuation after hitting resistance, with the Shanghai Composite Index encountering resistance around 4133 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4112.60 points, down 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.41% to 14306.73 points[7] - Total trading volume for both markets was 29,388 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included the battery, semiconductor, non-ferrous metals, and energy metals sectors, while the internet services, cultural media, pharmaceutical commerce, and software development sectors lagged[3] - Over 50% of stocks in the market declined, with notable gains in electronic chemicals, precious metals, and fertilizers[7] Valuation and Investment Strategy - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 16.88 times and 53.38 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3] - The market has seen increased trading activity in January, with margin financing balances rising, suggesting a clear influx of new capital[3] Economic Indicators - The domestic risk-free interest rate continues to decline, and there is a trend of household deposits moving towards equity markets, providing ample liquidity[3] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year growth rate slightly expanded in December 2025, indicating marginal improvement in domestic demand[3] Future Outlook - The current market conditions, characterized by effective volume expansion, positive policy expectations, and ongoing industrial catalysts, suggest that the current market rally may continue[3] - Investors are advised to focus on opportunities in the battery, semiconductor, energy metals, and non-ferrous metals sectors in the short term[3]

Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of the semiconductor industry, with a 5.11% increase in December 2025, outperforming the broader market indices [15][16] - The automotive sector is projected to achieve record production and sales, exceeding 34 million units in 2025, maintaining its position as the world's largest market for 17 consecutive years [9][6] - The gaming industry is experiencing steady growth, with animation films leading box office revenues, indicating a robust demand for content in the entertainment sector [23][25] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,126.09, down 0.31%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.56% to 14,248.60, reflecting mixed performance across different indices [4] - The A-share market has shown signs of increased trading activity, with a total transaction amount of 36,991 billion, indicating a return of investor confidence [10][11] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down 0.67%, while the Nikkei 225 rose by 0.62% to 26,643.39, showcasing varied performance across global markets [5] Industry Analysis - The semiconductor sector is expected to continue its upward trajectory, driven by strong demand for AI-related hardware and increasing capital expenditures from major tech companies [15][16] - The food and beverage sector has faced challenges, with a 4.05% decline in December 2025, particularly in traditional categories like liquor and meat products, while emerging categories like snacks and health products remain resilient [19][20] - The new materials sector has shown strong performance, with a 7.20% increase in December, indicating a growing demand for advanced materials in various industries [27][28] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors with strong growth potential, such as semiconductor equipment, storage solutions, and AI-driven technologies, as these areas are expected to benefit from ongoing industry trends [17][31] - In the food and beverage sector, investment opportunities are recommended in soft drinks, health products, and baked goods, which have shown resilience despite overall market challenges [19][20] - The gaming and animation sectors are highlighted for their growth potential, with specific companies recommended for investment based on their strong market positions and innovative content offerings [23][25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "In line with the market" for the basic chemical industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The CITIC Basic Chemical Industry Index rose by 4.26% in December 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.19 percentage points and the CSI 300 Index by 1.97 percentage points, ranking 11th among 30 CITIC first-level industries [3][7]. - In December 2025, 26 out of 33 CITIC third-level sub-industries saw an increase, with potassium fertilizer, synthetic resin, and carbon fiber leading the gains at 15.97%, 15.63%, and 13.51% respectively [8][11]. - The report suggests focusing on the pesticide, polyester filament, and coal chemical sectors for investment strategies in January 2026, as the downward trend in chemical product prices continues to slow [3][8]. Market Review - The CITIC Basic Chemical Index increased by 40.14% in 2025, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 21.73 percentage points and the CSI 300 Index by 22.47 percentage points, ranking 6th among 30 CITIC first-level industries [3][7]. - In December 2025, 237 out of 527 stocks in the basic chemical sector rose, while 289 fell, with notable gainers including Zaiseng Technology and Shenjian Co., which saw increases of 146.44% and 126.18% respectively [8][11]. Product Price Tracking - In December 2025, the international oil prices continued to decline, with WTI crude oil down by 1.93% to $57.42 per barrel and Brent crude oil down by 3.72% to $63.20 per barrel [3][8]. - Among 319 tracked products, 138 saw price increases, with liquid chlorine, argon, lithium hydroxide, lithium carbonate, and manganese lithium showing significant gains of 75%, 35.03%, 30.87%, 28.33%, and 20.91% respectively [3][8]. Industry and Company News - The chemical raw materials and products manufacturing industry achieved a total profit of 343.77 billion yuan from January to November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.9% [15][16]. - The report highlights the implementation of the "one certificate, one product" regulation in the pesticide industry, which is expected to enhance market order and quality assurance [32][35].