分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 电网酿酒行业领涨 A 股宽幅震荡 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：农业通信行业领涨 A 股宽幅震 荡》 2026-01-30 《市场分析：传媒酿酒行业领涨 A 股小幅上 行》 2026-01-29 《市场分析：煤炭有色行业领涨 A 股小幅上 行》 2026-01-28 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 ◼ 后市研判及投资建议 周一 A 股市场低开低走、宽幅震荡整理，早盘股指低开后震荡上 行，盘中沪指在 4103 点附近遭遇阻力，随后股指震荡回落，盘中电 网设备、酿酒、银行以及光伏设备等行业表现较好；贵金属、化 肥、采掘以及有色金属等行业表现较弱，沪指全天基本呈现宽幅震 荡整理的运行特征。当前上证综指与创业板指数的平均市盈率分别 为 16.90 倍、52.86 倍，处于近三年中位数平均水平上方，适合中 长期布局。两市周一成交金额 26069 亿元，处于近三年日均成交量 中位数区域上方。1 月官方制造业 PMI 虽略有回落，但装备 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -8% -1% 6% 14% 21% 28% 35% 42% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.10 2026.01 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | 4,117.95 | -0.96 | | 深证成指 | 14,205.89 | -0.66 | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 300 | 4,706.34 | -1.00 | | 上证 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 100 | 4,615.93 | -1.04 | | 中证 500 | 8,370.52 | -1.73 | | 中证 1000 | 6,116.76 | 0.33 | | 国证 20 ...

Market Overview - On January 30, the A-share market experienced a rebound after a dip, with the Shanghai Composite Index finding support around 4064 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95 points, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89 points, down 0.66%[7] - Total trading volume for both markets was 28,627 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included communication equipment, agriculture, battery, and coal sectors, while precious metals, energy metals, mining, and non-ferrous metals lagged[3] - Over 50% of stocks in the two markets declined, with significant inflows into communication equipment, battery, agriculture, gaming, and coal sectors[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices were 17.07 times and 52.68 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years[3] - The current market conditions are deemed suitable for medium to long-term investments[3] Future Outlook - Regulatory measures are being implemented to temper speculative market behavior and guide the market towards a healthier "slow bull" trend[3] - The upcoming earnings reports from listed companies are expected to shift market focus towards performance growth and profit improvement[3] - Investors are advised to adopt a balanced allocation strategy, focusing on both technology growth sectors and cyclical, resource, and consumer sectors for future investment opportunities[3]

分析师：乔琪 登记编码：S0730520090001 qiaoqi@ccnew.com 021-50586985 全年利润大幅增长，Q4 或将创利润新高 证券研究报告-公司点评报告 买入(维持) 市场数据(2026-01-29) | 收盘价(元) | 475.50 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 668.00/198.21 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 4,753.87 | | 市净率(倍) | 6.37 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 342.56 | | 基础数据(2025-09-30) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 74.69 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 25.80 | | 毛利率(%) | 93.31 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 22.56 | | 资产负债率(%) | 21.96 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 7,204.11/7,204.11 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 -5% 27% 60% 92% 125% 157% 189% 222% 20 ...

| 收盘价(元) | 475.50 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 668.00/198.21 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 4,753.87 | | 市净率(倍) | 6.37 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 342.56 | | 基础数据(2025-09-30) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 74.69 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 25.80 | | 毛利率(%) | 93.31 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 22.56 | | 资产负债率(%) | 21.96 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 7,204.11/7,204.11 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 分析师：乔琪 登记编码：S0730520090001 qiaoqi@ccnew.com 021-50586985 全年利润大幅增长，Q4 或将创利润新高 证券研究报告-公司点评报告 买入(维持) 市场数据(2026-01-29) 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 -5% 27% 60% 92% 125% 157% 189% 222% 20 ...

资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -8% -1% 6% 14% 21% 28% 35% 42% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.10 2026.01 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 4,157.98 | 0.16 | | 深证成指 | | 14,300.08 | -0.30 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,753.87 | 0.76 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,664.57 | 0.65 | | 中证 | 500 | 8,517.84 | -0.97 | | 中证 | 1000 | 6,116.76 | 0.33 | | 国证 | 2000 | 7,801.23 | 0.58 | | 资料来源：聚源，中原证 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the computer industry, expecting a relative increase of over 10% compared to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [1][50]. Core Insights - DeepSeek is set to launch its next-generation flagship AI model, DeepSeek V4, in mid-February 2026, which is anticipated to surpass the capabilities of Claude and GPT series models [3][11]. - The introduction of a new architecture independent of transformers in V4 is expected to mark a significant technological breakthrough, paving the way for advancements towards AGI [4][46]. - The report highlights the potential for cost reductions in model training, which could alleviate the current chip shortages in the domestic market [4][40]. - DeepSeek's commitment to an open-source approach is likely to enhance its competitive position against closed-source models from companies like OpenAI and Anthropic [41][45]. Summary by Sections 1. Latest Developments of DeepSeek - DeepSeek plans to release V4, which is positioned against the anticipated R2 model expected in May 2025 [11]. - The company has made significant advancements in adapting its models to domestic chips, enhancing compatibility and performance [12]. 2. Sparse Allocation Scheme - The introduction of the "Engram" memory module aims to improve model performance and decouple computation from memory constraints, addressing current GPU memory limitations [19][29]. - Experimental data indicates that allocating 20%-25% of sparse parameters to Engram optimizes overall model performance [22]. 3. Innovations in Information Transmission Architecture - The mHC architecture proposed by DeepSeek enhances information flow and stability in deep networks, improving training convergence speed by approximately 1.8 times [30][31]. 4. Long Text Input Compression - DeepSeek-OCR and its upgrade, DeepSeek-OCR2, utilize visual encoding to significantly reduce the number of tokens required for long text inputs, achieving high decoding accuracy even at substantial compression rates [34][37]. 5. Increased Transparency in Research - The update of the R1 paper from 22 to 86 pages reflects DeepSeek's commitment to transparency, detailing training processes and costs, which are significantly lower than those of leading models [39][40]. 6. Predictions for V4's Impact - V4 is expected to lower model costs and enhance performance, potentially transforming the competitive landscape of the AI industry [40][46]. - The model's deep integration with domestic chips is anticipated to support the development of the local computing ecosystem [47].

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 相关报告 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 传媒酿酒行业领涨 A 股小幅上行 《市场分析：煤炭有色行业领涨 A 股小幅上 行》 2026-01-28 《市场分析：金融半导体领涨 A 股小幅上 行 》 2026-01-27 《市场分析：金融有色行业领涨 A 股小幅整 ——市场分析 理 》 2026-01-26 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 风险提示：海外超预期衰退，影响国内经济复苏进程；国内政 策及经济复苏进度不及预期；宏观经济超预期扰动；政策超预期 变化；国际关系变化带来经济环境变化；海外宏观流动性超预期 收紧；海外波动加剧。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共7页 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2026 年 01 月 29 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周四（01 月 29 日）A 股市场先抑后扬、小幅震荡上行，早盘股 ...

基本金属价格普涨，2025 年全国累计发电装机 容量同增 16% ——新材料行业月报 新材料 分析师：石临源 登记编码：S0730525020001 shily@ccnew.com 0371-65585629 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 新材料相对沪深 300 指数表现 《新材料行业月报：人形机器人标委会在北京 成立，功能金刚石迎来首个团体标准聚焦热沉 应用》 2025-12-30 《新材料行业月报：河南省印发有色金属产业 提质升级行动计划，Diamond Foundry 投建 金刚石晶圆工厂》 2025-11-28 《新材料行业月报：《有色金属行业稳增长工 作方案》印发，几内亚铝土矿出口第三季度显 著增长》 2025-10-31 联系人：李智 投资要点： 风险提示：技术进展不及预期；上游原材料价格大幅波动；下游需求 不及预期；地缘政治因素影响。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共21页 发布日期：2026 年 01 月 29 日 -60% -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -8% -1% 6% 14% 21% 28% 35% 42% 2025.02 2025.06 2025.10 2026.01 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | 4,151.24 | 0.27 | | 深证成指 | 14,342.89 | 0.09 | | 创业板指 | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 300 | 4,717.99 | 0.26 | | 上证 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 100 | 4,634.22 | 0.48 | | 中证 500 | 8,601.16 | 0.61 | | 中证 1000 | 6,116.76 | 0.33 | | 国证 2000 | ...