分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 航天医药行业领涨 A 股小幅上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：通信金融行业领涨 A 股震荡上 行》 2025-12-17 《市场分析：消费汽车行业领涨 A 股宽幅震 荡》 2025-12-16 《市场分析：金融消费行业领涨 A 股小幅整 理》 2025-12-15 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 12 月 18 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周四（12 月 18 日）A 股市场冲高遇阻、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指低 开后震荡上行，盘中沪指在 3888 点附近遭遇阻力，午后股指维持震 荡，盘中航天航空、医药商业、文化传媒以及银行等行业表现较 好；消费电子、电池、电子元件以及证券等行业表现较弱，沪指全 天基本呈现震荡上行的运行特征。创业板市场周四震荡回落，创业 板成分指数全天表现弱于主板市场。 ◼ 后市研判及投资 ...

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 通信金融行业领涨 A 股震荡上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：消费汽车行业领涨 A 股宽幅震 荡》 2025-12-16 《市场分析：金融消费行业领涨 A 股小幅整 理》 2025-12-15 《市场分析：电网有色行业领涨 A 股震荡上 行》 2025-12-12 联系人： 李智 电话： 0371-65585629 地址： 郑州郑东新区商务外环路10号18楼 地址： 上海浦东新区世纪大道 1788 号 T1 座 22 楼 风险提示：海外超预期衰退，影响国内经济复苏进程；国内政 策及经济复苏进度不及预期；宏观经济超预期扰动；政策超预期 变化；国际关系变化带来经济环境变化；海外宏观流动性超预期 收紧；海外波动加剧。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共7页 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 12 月 17 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周三（12 月 17 日）A 股市场低开高走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [3][9]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic manufacturer of direct imaging lithography equipment, primarily serving the PCB and semiconductor industries. It has rapidly expanded its market share and product offerings, particularly in high-end PCB applications and the semiconductor sector [9][14]. - The PCB industry is expected to grow significantly, driven by demand from sectors such as electric vehicles and cloud computing, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.5% over the next five years [9][37]. - The company's revenue and profit forecasts indicate strong growth, with expected revenues of 1.35 billion yuan in 2025 and 2.37 billion yuan in 2027, alongside net profits of 296 million yuan and 580 million yuan respectively [9][8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was established in June 2015 and went public in April 2021. It is located in Hefei, Anhui Province, and focuses on R&D and manufacturing of direct imaging equipment, holding over 200 patents [14][15]. - The company has shown robust growth, with revenue increasing from 310.9 million yuan in 2020 to 954 million yuan in 2024, representing a compound annual growth rate of 32.44% [20][24]. PCB Industry Development - The PCB industry is a crucial part of the electronic information sector, benefiting from national policies and a growing demand for electronic products. The global PCB market is projected to reach 73.565 billion USD in 2024, with a growth rate of 5.8% from the previous year [37][38]. - The domestic PCB market is also expanding, with a forecasted CAGR of 4.0% through 2028, driven by the shift of production capacity to China and the growth of downstream electronic manufacturing [49][50]. Financial Performance - The company maintains a high gross margin of approximately 42% and a net margin around 21%, indicating strong profitability [24][28]. - The revenue structure is primarily composed of PCB equipment, which accounted for 81.95% of total revenue in 2024, while the semiconductor equipment segment is growing rapidly [28][29]. Future Growth Potential - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing transition to high-end PCB products and the expansion of its semiconductor business, which is expected to drive significant revenue growth in the coming years [9][37]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for advanced packaging and IC substrates, which are expected to contribute to the company's growth trajectory [9][38].

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：Wind,中原证券 -11% -6% 0% 6% 12% 18% 24% 30% 2024.12 2025.04 2025.08 2025.12 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 3,824.81 | | -1.11 | | 深证成指 | | | 12,914.67 | -1.51 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,497.55 | | -1.20 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,365.14 | | -1.37 | | 中证 | 500 | 7,0 ...

Market Overview - On December 16, the A-share market opened lower and experienced wide fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index finding support around 3815 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3824.81 points, down 1.11%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.51% to 12914.67 points[7] - Total trading volume for both markets was 17,483 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[3] Sector Performance - Consumer, diversified finance, automotive, and real estate sectors performed well, while precious metals, shipbuilding, power equipment, and wind power sectors lagged[3] - Over 80% of stocks in the two markets declined, with commercial retail, education, diversified finance, and food and beverage sectors showing the highest gains[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 15.89 times and 48.54 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3] - The current macroeconomic environment is in a mild recovery phase, but the foundation still needs consolidation[3] Future Outlook - The Shanghai Composite Index is expected to consolidate around the 4000-point mark, with cyclical and technology sectors likely to perform in rotation[3] - Investors are advised to closely monitor macroeconomic data, changes in overseas liquidity, and policy developments, with short-term focus on aerospace, consumer, automotive, and diversified finance sectors[3] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected overseas recession impacting domestic economic recovery, domestic policy and economic recovery progress falling short of expectations, and international relations changes affecting the economic environment[4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Increase" for the company, indicating an expected relative increase of 5% to 15% compared to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [3][36]. Core Insights - The company is actively pursuing the acquisition of the remaining 19% stake in Xinhua San held by HPE, which reflects a positive outlook on its fundamentals [2]. - In 2025, the company's revenue growth accelerated, with a reported revenue of 77.32 billion yuan for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 31.41%. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company declined by 11.24% [9]. - The growth momentum for Xinhua San is primarily driven by domestic government and enterprise business, as well as international business, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 62.55% and 83.99% in the first three quarters of 2025 [9]. - The company has increased its stake in Xinhua San to 81%, with Xinhua San contributing 77% of the company's revenue and 146% of its net profit in the first three quarters of 2025 [9]. - The company is expected to alleviate financial pressure from the acquisition of Xinhua San through its successful listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [9]. Financial Data Summary - As of September 30, 2025, the company reported a net asset value per share of 5.06 yuan and a net profit margin of 9.70% [5]. - The company's revenue is projected to reach 101.06 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 27.88% [12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.52 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 46.62, 32.07, and 24.41 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [12].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of expanding domestic demand as a strategic move to address the current economic challenges, highlighting the need for a comprehensive internal demand system [4][5][7] - The macroeconomic environment is showing signs of moderate recovery, but the foundation still needs strengthening, with the A-share market expected to consolidate around the 4000-point mark [8][10][11] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,867.92, down 0.55%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13,112.09, down 1.10% [3] - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 15.97 and 49.26, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [7][10] International Market Performance - Major international indices such as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 experienced declines of 0.67% and 0.45%, respectively, reflecting a broader trend of market adjustments [4] Economic Indicators - In November, the industrial value-added of large-scale enterprises in China grew by 4.8% year-on-year, while retail sales increased by 1.3% [5][7] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) saw a decline of 2.6% from January to November [5] Industry Analysis - The lithium battery sector saw a 3.22% increase in its index in November, outperforming the CSI 300 index, with significant growth in electric vehicle sales [13][14] - The chemical industry index rose by 1.63% in November, with prices of sulfur and phosphate fertilizers showing signs of stabilization [15][16] - The telecommunications sector outperformed the market with a 1.44% increase in November, driven by growth in telecom service revenue and 5G user adoption [17][18] Investment Strategies - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as aerospace, food and beverage, insurance, and securities for short-term investment opportunities [7][10][11] - In the chemical industry, it is recommended to look for investment opportunities in sectors with significant supply-side improvements and demand recovery [36][37]

Market Overview - On December 15, the A-share market experienced a slight consolidation after reaching resistance, with the Shanghai Composite Index encountering resistance around 3896 points[2][3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3867.92 points, down 0.55%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.10% to 13112.09 points[7][8] - Total trading volume for both markets was 17,945 billion yuan, above the median of the past three years[3][14] Sector Performance - Strong performers included insurance, securities, food and beverage, and aerospace industries, while shipbuilding, energy metals, semiconductors, and consumer electronics lagged[3][7] - Over 50% of stocks in the two markets declined, with notable gains in insurance, commercial retail, and food and beverage sectors[7][9] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices were 15.97 times and 49.26 times, respectively, above the median levels of the past three years, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3][14] Economic Outlook - The central economic work conference set a tone of "more proactive" economic policies for the upcoming year, while the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have led to fluctuating expectations for future easing[3][14] - The domestic economy is in a state of moderate recovery, but the foundation still needs strengthening, supporting the current upward trend in A-shares[3][14] Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to closely monitor macroeconomic data, changes in overseas liquidity, and policy directions[3][14] - Short-term investment opportunities are suggested in aerospace, food and beverage, insurance, and securities sectors[3][14]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the lithium battery industry [6][10][12]. Core Insights - The lithium battery sector has shown strong performance, with the index rising by 3.22% in November 2025, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which fell by 2.46% during the same period [3][10]. - In November 2025, sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in China reached 1.823 million units, a year-on-year increase of 20.57%, with a monthly sales share exceeding 50% for the second consecutive month [6][17]. - The report highlights the upward trend in raw material prices, particularly lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide, which have seen significant increases of 15.15% and 9.90% respectively in December 2025 [6][45][47]. - The overall industry outlook remains positive, driven by continuous growth in NEV sales, increased demand for energy storage batteries, and rising prices across the supply chain [6][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The lithium battery index outperformed the market, with a 3.22% increase in November 2025, while the NEV index decreased by 5.27% [3][10]. - Among individual stocks, notable gainers included Huasheng Lithium and Haike Xinyuan, with increases of 132.48% and 122.40% respectively [10][11]. 2. New Energy Vehicle Sales and Industry Prices - NEV sales in China for November 2025 were 1.823 million units, marking a 20.57% year-on-year increase and a 53.16% market share [6][17]. - The report indicates that the total installed capacity of power batteries in November 2025 was 93.5 GWh, a 39.14% increase year-on-year [6][39]. - The prices of key raw materials, including battery-grade lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide, have risen significantly, indicating a tightening supply and strong demand [6][45][47]. 3. Industry and Company News - The report notes significant industry developments, including a strategic partnership between Haibosi Chuang and CATL, securing a record battery procurement volume [60]. - The report also highlights ongoing innovations in battery technology, particularly advancements in lithium iron phosphate batteries by CATL [60]. 4. Industry Chain Prices - The report details the price trends of various materials, with battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 95,000 CNY/ton, a 15.15% increase from November [6][45]. - The price of hexafluorophosphate lithium surged by 67.92% to 178,000 CNY/ton, driven by increased demand for energy storage batteries [6][56].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the gradual recovery of the domestic economy, with A-shares showing potential for upward movement supported by favorable policies and improved liquidity [8][10][11] - The focus on green finance and support for green factory construction is highlighted as a key area for investment opportunities [4][8] - The semiconductor industry is noted for its strong growth, driven by AI demand and increasing capital expenditures from major tech firms [28][29] Domestic Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,889.35 with a slight increase of 0.41%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.84% to 13,258.33 [3] - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext are at 15.91 and 48.81 respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [10][11] International Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 30,772.79, down by 0.67%, while the Nikkei 225 saw a slight increase of 0.62% to 26,643.39 [4] Financial News - The Central Financial Committee emphasized the importance of managing financial risks in local governments and real estate sectors, aiming to prevent financial crises [8] - The People's Bank of China reported a significant increase in RMB loans, totaling 15.36 trillion yuan, with social financing growth exceeding last year's total [8] Industry Analysis - The chemical industry is experiencing a slowdown in price declines, with sulfur and phosphate fertilizers performing well [16][39] - The telecommunications sector showed resilience, with a 1.44% increase in the industry index, outperforming major indices [19] - The food and beverage sector is recovering, particularly in prepared foods and liquor, although overall performance remains weak [24][25] Investment Strategies - The report suggests focusing on sectors such as electric power, telecommunications, and chemicals for potential investment opportunities [10][19][39] - Emphasis is placed on the importance of monitoring macroeconomic data and policy changes to identify structural investment opportunities [10][11][39]