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京新药业:院外推动业绩稳健增长,盈利能力持续提升

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [2][4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 3.209 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 575 million yuan, up 21.66% year-on-year [4]. - The company is experiencing steady growth in its outpatient market, driven by strategic partnerships with retail pharmacies and a successful new marketing model [4]. - The raw material and medical device businesses are stabilizing, with new production bases enhancing competitive advantages [4]. - The launch of the innovative insomnia treatment drug is expected to drive significant growth in the coming year [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 are 0.83, 0.96, and 1.13 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15.4, 13.3, and 11.3 [4]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company expects revenue of 4.401 billion yuan, a 10.1% increase from the previous year, and a net profit of 712 million yuan, reflecting a 15.1% growth [3][4]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 is reported at 51.11%, with a net margin of 18.09% [4]. - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 11.2% in 2023 to 12.1% in 2024 [3][4].