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福斯特:胶膜龙头盈利稳定,海外产能提升优势
FirstFirst(SH:603806)2024-11-11 00:55

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [1][3]. Core Views - The company, a leader in the encapsulation film sector, shows stable profitability despite a 12% year-on-year decline in performance for the first three quarters of 2024. Continuous optimization of cash flow and credit recovery, along with enhanced overseas production capacity, strengthens the company's competitive advantage [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 15,174.25 million RMB, a decrease of 8.86% year-on-year. The net profit was 1,258.02 million RMB, down 12.08% year-on-year. The third quarter alone saw a net profit of 330 million RMB, reflecting a significant decline of 39.67% year-on-year and 19.01% quarter-on-quarter [4][6]. - The comprehensive gross margin for the first three quarters was 15.56%, an increase of 1.49 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 8.28%, a decrease of 0.32 percentage points year-on-year [4][6]. Cash Flow and Credit Recovery - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters was 2,789 million RMB, with the third quarter showing a positive cash flow of 1,885 million RMB, indicating a significant improvement [4][6]. Competitive Positioning - The company has a comprehensive product range and excellent cost control capabilities, providing competitive encapsulation solutions for new technology components. The expansion of production capacity in Vietnam and the initiation of a second-phase project in Thailand are expected to enhance its global leadership in encapsulation film [4][5]. Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024-2026 have been adjusted to 0.61, 0.89, and 1.16 RMB, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 30.0, 20.5, and 15.7 times. The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating based on the company's solid leadership position in the encapsulation film sector [4][5].