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高端制造产业跟踪(10月):三大机遇驱动高端制造板块迎来利好
Minmetals Securities·2024-11-11 07:27

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry is "Positive" [1] Core Insights - The mining and metallurgy machinery sector is benefiting from a combination of fundamental and policy support, with fixed asset investment in China's mining industry showing continuous growth for three years. In 2023, the non-ferrous metal mining and selection industry saw a significant year-on-year increase of 42.7%, while the non-metallic mining industry grew by 16.2% [5] - The engineering machinery sector is experiencing a cyclical recovery, with major product sales continuing to grow positively. In September 2024, excavator sales reached 15,831 units, a year-on-year increase of 10.8% [6] - The robotics industry is poised for a cyclical recovery, with the production of robots showing positive growth for several months. Tesla's recent "We, Robot" event highlighted advancements in humanoid robots, indicating a potential reduction in costs for these robots to $20,000-$30,000 in the future [7] Summary by Sections Sector Insights - The mining and metallurgy machinery sector is expected to benefit from ongoing high growth in fixed asset investment, driven by the replacement of old equipment and supportive policies from various government departments [5] - The engineering machinery sector is recovering from a cyclical low, with positive sales growth in major products and increasing export opportunities [6] Market Review - As of October 31, 2024, the general equipment index increased by 9.12% for the month, while specialized equipment saw a 7.70% increase. The engineering machinery index decreased by 3.09% but has shown a year-to-date increase of 26.53% [8] Data Tracking - In the first nine months of 2024, the profit growth rate for China's industrial enterprises was -3.2%, with the highest profit growth observed in the paper and paper products industry at 61% [14] - The industrial robot production in September 2024 reached 54,000 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.8% [30]