BATIAN(002170) 国海证券·2024-11-11 09:04Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][9][17] Core Views - The company is expected to see significant revenue growth due to the expansion of phosphate mining capacity from 900,000 tons to 2 million tons per year, which is anticipated to enhance performance in the upcoming quarters [4][8][9] - Despite a decline in Q3 performance due to fluctuating raw material prices and a sluggish market, the long-term outlook remains positive as production ramps up [3][4][7] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 882 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.55% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.43% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 54 million yuan, down 23% year-on-year and 44.42% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The gross profit margin for Q3 was 19.83%, a decrease of 0.91 percentage points year-on-year [4] Financial Forecast - Projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 3.24 billion yuan, 7.24 billion yuan, and 8.56 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23, 10, and 9 [9][17] - The company is expected to achieve a return on equity (ROE) of 12% in 2024, increasing to 25% by 2025 and 2026 [17] Market Data - As of November 8, 2024, the company's stock price is 8.32 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 7.42 billion yuan [2][4] - The stock has shown a 51.9% increase over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which has increased by 14.4% [2]