特锐德：业绩符合预期，箱变业务稳步提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance met expectations, with steady growth in the box transformer business [1] - In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.56%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 447 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 101.23% [2] - The company is making steady progress in its new energy business, driven by both power and charging equipment [2] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to 800 million, 1 billion, and 1.4 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 32, 24, and 18 [2] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported operating revenue of 14.602 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 25.6% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 491 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 80.4% [3] - The gross margin is projected to be 23.4% in 2023, decreasing slightly to 22.2% by 2026 [3] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 7.3% in 2023 to 13.4% in 2026 [3] Cash Flow and Investment Activities - The operating cash flow for 2023 is projected at 1.345 billion yuan, with an increase to 2.228 billion yuan by 2026 [4] - The company plans to increase capital expenditures from 980 million yuan in 2023 to 1.383 billion yuan in 2026 [4] - The net cash increase is expected to turn positive in 2024, reaching 141 million yuan, and further increasing to 642 million yuan by 2026 [4] Financial Ratios - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 41.88 in 2023 to 17.72 in 2026, indicating improved valuation over time [6] - The debt-to-asset ratio is expected to remain stable around 69% from 2024 to 2026 [6] - The current ratio is projected to improve from 1.17 in 2023 to 1.25 in 2026, indicating better liquidity [6]