Alpha Group(002292) 国海证券·2024-11-11 23:33Investment Rating - Buy rating (initiated coverage) [2] Core Views - Revenue remains stable with improved gross margin [2][3] - Focus on IP full industry chain development and AI-empowered product innovation [4][5] - Expected revenue for 2024-2026: 2.871 billion, 3.156 billion, and 3.605 billion yuan, respectively [6] - Expected net profit attributable to parent company for 2024-2026: 105 million, 176 million, and 256 million yuan, respectively [6] - PE ratios for 2024-2026: 106.94X, 63.96X, and 43.90X, respectively [6] Financial Performance - 2024Q3 revenue: 706 million yuan (YoY -1.91%, QoQ +7.81%) [2][3] - 2024Q3 net profit attributable to parent company: 16 million yuan (YoY -22.55%, QoQ +260.38%) [2][3] - 2024Q3 gross margin: 42.76% (YoY +5.97pct) [3] - 2024Q1-Q3 revenue: 2.011 billion yuan (YoY -0.45%) [3] - 2024Q1-Q3 net profit attributable to parent company: 71 million yuan (YoY -12.50%) [3] IP and AI Strategy - Full industry chain development of IP, covering all age groups and expanding new categories [4][5] - Key IPs include "Super Wings," "Pleasant Goat and Big Big Wolf," "Balala the Fairies," and "Armor Hero" [4] - AI-empowered products launched, including AI Super Wings blind box and AI smart products [5] - Future focus on AI+education and smart toy product architecture [5] Market Performance - Current price: 7.32 yuan [3] - 52-week price range: 5.03-11.41 yuan [3] - Total market capitalization: 10.824 billion yuan [3] - Free-float market capitalization: 7.451 billion yuan [3] - Average daily trading volume: 517.02 million yuan [1] Profitability and Valuation - 2024E ROE: 3% [7][9] - 2024E gross margin: 42% [9] - 2024E P/E: 106.94X [6][7] - 2024E P/B: 3.27X [7][9] - 2024E P/S: 3.91X [7][9]