CNOOC(600938) 东兴证券·2024-11-12 09:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1][9]. Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas net production has increased year-on-year, with healthy cash flow and high growth potential expected [2][8]. - The company has signed four new offshore oil exploration contracts in Brazil, expanding its overseas exploration potential [3][6]. - CNOOC's revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached approximately 326.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 116.66 billion yuan, up 19.5% year-on-year [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, CNOOC achieved total revenue of 326.02 billion yuan, with a net profit of 116.66 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 6.3% and 19.5% respectively [2][4]. - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 99.25 billion yuan, down 13.5% year-on-year and 13.9% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit was 36.93 billion yuan, up 9.0% year-on-year but down 7.7% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Production and Sales - CNOOC's oil and gas sales revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 was approximately 271.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, with net production reaching 542.1 million barrels of oil equivalent, up 8.5% year-on-year [3][4]. - The company’s net production in Q3 2024 was 17.96 million barrels of oil equivalent, an increase of 7.0% year-on-year [3]. Cost Management - The average cost per barrel of oil for the first three quarters of 2024 was 28.14 USD, remaining stable year-on-year, while the average Brent crude oil price was 81.88 USD per barrel, a slight decrease of 0.30% year-on-year [3][4]. - CNOOC's net profit for the first three quarters of 2024 increased significantly due to effective cost management despite fluctuations in international oil prices [3]. Cash Flow and Financial Health - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters of 2024 increased by 14.9% to 182.77 billion yuan, indicating stable and healthy cash flow [4]. - The company maintained a prudent financial policy, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 33.24% as of September 2024, down 3.56 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Future Outlook - CNOOC is expected to continue its strategy of increasing reserves and production, with several new projects successfully launched in 2024, including developments in both domestic and overseas markets [8]. - The company is projected to maintain high dividend payouts, with expected average dividend yields of 4.34% and 6.50% for CNOOC and CNOOC Ltd. respectively from 2024 to 2026 [8][9].