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医药零售业务收入增长韧性强
华兴证券·2024-11-12 09:16

Industry Investment Rating - Overweight rating for the pharmaceutical retail industry [1] Core Views - The pharmaceutical retail business has shown strong revenue growth resilience in the first 8 months of 2024 [1] - The pharmaceutical retail industry is expected to achieve improved profit margins in the future, with Yifeng Pharmacy being the top recommendation [1][2] - The industry is transitioning from store expansion to profitability enhancement, maintaining long-term growth potential [2] Revenue Growth and Channel Analysis - From January to August 2024, the pharmaceutical retail market in China reached a sales scale of RMB 3,244 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 1.4% [1] - Retail pharmacies (including O2O) accounted for 87.0% of the market, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0.3% [1] - E-commerce B2C accounted for 13.0% of the market, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.6%, and its market share increased by 1.0% compared to the previous year [1] - In July and August 2024, offline retail pharmacy revenue grew by 2% and 5% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a clear improvement in the performance of physical pharmacies [2] Channel Differentiation and Product Focus - Retail pharmacies, due to their professional nature, focus on categories such as oncology drugs, cardiovascular drugs, and hypertension medications [2] - Online platforms, leveraging privacy, prioritize categories like dermatological drugs and urological medications [2] - O2O, as an emerging field, is increasingly important for retail growth, particularly for acute medication needs such as cold medicines, cough suppressants, and systemic anti-infective drugs [2] Company Recommendation - Yifeng Pharmacy (603939CH) is recommended with a "Buy" rating and a target price of RMB 47.90 [2]