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传媒互联网行业月报:Q4游戏产品周期开启,关注春节档定档情况
Guoyuan Securities·2024-11-13 00:39

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the media sector, particularly in the gaming and AI segments, indicating a positive outlook for these areas [4][8]. Core Insights - The media sector has shown resilience with a 5.16% increase in October, outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite and the ChiNext [2][14]. - The gaming market in China reached a total scale of 917.66 billion yuan in Q3 2024, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 22.96% and a year-on-year growth of 8.95% [30]. - The report highlights the strong performance of new game releases and the stable issuance of game licenses as key drivers for growth in the gaming sector [21][30]. - The AI segment is experiencing significant advancements, with new product launches from major players like OpenAI and ByteDance, contributing to a robust market performance [23][24]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The media industry (Shenwan) rose by 5.16% in October, ranking 8th among sub-industries, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 3.16% [2][14]. - The overall revenue for the media sector in the first three quarters of 2024 was 356.8 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.38% year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 32.98% [18][19]. AI Sector - The AI index rose by 14.09% in October, significantly outperforming the broader market [23]. - Major developments include OpenAI's launch of Canvas and ByteDance's introduction of the Ola Friend AI headset, indicating a trend towards innovative AI applications [24][25]. Gaming Sector - The gaming market's total revenue for Q3 2024 was 917.66 billion yuan, with mobile games contributing 656.58 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.21% [30]. - The report notes that the issuance of game licenses remains stable, with 128 licenses granted in October, supporting the growth of new game releases [30][21]. Film and Television Sector - The domestic box office for October 2024 reached 36.24 billion yuan, with the top film, "Volunteer Army: Life and Death Battle," grossing 11.15 billion yuan [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of supply in driving box office performance, particularly with the upcoming Spring Festival releases [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong product pipelines in gaming, such as Kae Ying Network and Perfect World, and stable cash flows in publishing, like Southern Media and Anhui Xinhua [4][8].