HPI(600011) 湘财证券·2024-11-13 01:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Huadian Power International (600011 SH) [12] Core Views - Q3 performance was impacted by asset impairment charges of 1 193 billion yuan (727 million yuan for Jining Power Plant and 409 million yuan for Nongan Biomass Power Plant) leading to a 52 69% YoY decline in net profit attributable to the parent company [12] - The company continues its green and low-carbon transformation with rapid growth in new energy power generation [14] - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of thermal power profitability and the deepening of power sector reforms [15] Financial Performance - Revenue for the first nine months of 2024 was 184 396 billion yuan a decrease of 3 62% YoY [12] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for the first nine months of 2024 was 10 413 billion yuan a decrease of 17 12% YoY [12] - Adjusted net profit attributable to the parent company for the first nine months of 2024 was 10 041 billion yuan an increase of 6 87% YoY [12] Thermal Power Operations - Thermal power generation in the first nine months of 2024 was 278 104 billion kWh a decrease of 2 09% YoY [13] - Gas power generation in the first nine months of 2024 was 21 137 billion kWh an increase of 0 82% YoY [13] - The average price of Qinhuangdao thermal coal (5 500 kcal) in the first nine months of 2024 was 875 yuan/ton a decrease of 11 3% YoY [13] New Energy Operations - New installed capacity in the first nine months of 2024 was 5 2786 GW including 1 4675 GW of wind power and 3 7531 GW of photovoltaic power [14] - Wind power generation in the first nine months of 2024 was 2 683 billion kWh an increase of 16 12% YoY [14] - Photovoltaic power generation in the first nine months of 2024 was 13 884 billion kWh an increase of 72 92% YoY [14] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company's net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 11 400 billion yuan in 2024 13 302 billion yuan in 2025 and 14 951 billion yuan in 2026 [15] - The company's PE ratio is expected to be 10 12x in 2024 8 67x in 2025 and 7 72x in 2026 [15] - The company's EV/EBITDA ratio is expected to be 6 84x in 2024 5 83x in 2025 and 5 11x in 2026 [24]