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百济神州:Growing non-GAAP profit
BGNEBeiGene(BGNE) 招银国际·2024-11-14 01:23

Investment Rating - Maintain BUY with a target price of US276.02,downfromtheprevioustargetpriceofUS276.02, down from the previous target price of US288.93, indicating a potential upside of 42.5% from the current price of US193.64[3][21].CoreInsightsBeiGenereportedstrongproductsalesofUS193.64 [3][21]. Core Insights - BeiGene reported strong product sales of US993 million in 3Q24, representing an 8% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 67% year-over-year increase. Total product sales for the first nine months of 2024 reached US2.66billion,accountingfor692.66 billion, accounting for 69% of the previous full-year estimate [1][2]. - The company achieved non-GAAP profitability with a gross profit margin of 82.8% in 3Q24, despite a decrease from 85.0% in 2Q24 due to accelerated depreciation expenses. The SG&A ratio improved to 46% from 48% in the previous quarter [1][2]. - BeiGene's zanubrutinib (Zanu) sales increased by 8% quarter-over-quarter and 93% year-over-year to US690 million in 3Q24, capturing approximately 25% of the global BTK inhibitor market [1][2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for FY24E is projected at US3.835billion,withanetprofitexpectedtoimprovetoUS3.835 billion, with a net profit expected to improve to US52 million in FY25E, compared to a net loss of US603millioninFY24E[14][15].GrossprofitisestimatedatUS603 million in FY24E [14][15]. - Gross profit is estimated at US3.207 billion for FY24E, with a gross margin of 83.63% [16][19]. Product Development - BeiGene is advancing multiple clinical trials, including a Phase 3 study of sonrotoclax combined with zanubrutinib for first-line CLL, with full enrollment expected by 1Q25 [1][2]. - The company is also expanding cohorts for BGB-16673 in R/R CLL and plans to initiate a Phase 3 study for BTK CDAC in R/R CLL in 1H25 [1][2]. Market Position - Zanu continues to outperform competitors, with significant market share gains in the BTK inhibitor market, supported by strong sales growth in both the US and EU [1][2]. - The company is positioned to break even in FY25E, driven by strong sales momentum and improving operating margins [1][2].