Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yum China (09987.HK) [4] Core Views - The company reported Q3 2024 financial results that exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching 4.5 billion over the next three years, up from 3.07 billion, with operating profit at 369 million [2] - The total number of stores reached 15,861, with net additions of 438 stores in Q3 2024 [2] - System sales increased by 4% year-on-year, driven by a 7% contribution from net new stores [2] Same-Store Sales and Profitability - Same-store sales continued to decline, with Q3 2024 showing a decrease of 3% for the overall company, 2% for KFC, and 6% for Pizza Hut [2] - Restaurant profit margin for Q3 2024 was 17.0%, stable compared to the previous year, with a comparable basis showing a 0.5 percentage point increase [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company optimized its delivery strategy, resulting in an 18% year-on-year increase in delivery sales, which now account for 40% of restaurant revenue [2] - Membership numbers exceeded 510 million, with member sales contributing to 64% of system sales [2] - The company is focusing on expanding its franchise model, with expectations that the proportion of franchise stores will increase to 40%-50% for KFC and 20%-30% for Pizza Hut in the coming years [2] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 12.18 billion, and 876 million, 1.072 billion [3][12] - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 21x, 19x, and 17x for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2][3]
百胜中国：Q3业绩超预期，三年股东回馈提高至45亿美元