Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yum China (09987.HK) [4] Core Views - The company reported Q3 2024 financial results that exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching $3.07 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%, marking the highest quarterly revenue in history [2] - The company plans to increase shareholder returns to $4.5 billion over the next three years, up from $3 billion, reflecting confidence in future performance [2] Financial Performance - Q3 2024 total revenue was $3.07 billion, with operating profit at $371 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 15% [2] - Core operating profit rose 18% year-on-year to $369 million [2] - The total number of stores reached 15,861, with net additions of 438 stores in Q3 2024 [2] - System sales increased by 4% year-on-year, driven by a 7% contribution from net new stores [2] Same-Store Sales and Profitability - Same-store sales continued to decline, with Q3 2024 showing a decrease of 3% for the overall company, 2% for KFC, and 6% for Pizza Hut [2] - Restaurant profit margin for Q3 2024 was 17.0%, stable compared to the previous year, with a comparable basis showing a 0.5 percentage point increase [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company optimized its delivery strategy, resulting in an 18% year-on-year increase in delivery sales, which now account for 40% of restaurant revenue [2] - Membership numbers exceeded 510 million, with member sales contributing to 64% of system sales [2] - The company is focusing on expanding its franchise model, with expectations that the proportion of franchise stores will increase to 40%-50% for KFC and 20%-30% for Pizza Hut in the coming years [2] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are $11.19 billion, $12.18 billion, and $13.14 billion, respectively, with net profit estimates of $876 million, $947 million, and $1.072 billion [3][12] - The current price-to-earnings ratio is projected to be 21x, 19x, and 17x for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [2][3]
百胜中国：Q3业绩超预期，三年股东回馈提高至45亿美元