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财信宏观策略&市场资金跟踪周报:市场健康调整,关注长期破净及化债方向
Caixin Securities·2024-11-17 14:41

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a decline last week, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping by 3.52% to close at 3330.73 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index falling by 3.70% to 10748.97 points [10][12] - The average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 21,465.47 billion, representing a decrease of 8.63% compared to the previous week [10][12] - The market is currently undergoing a healthy adjustment, with a focus on long-term undervalued stocks and debt restructuring [10][17] Strategy Insights - The report indicates that since September 24, multiple government departments have signaled a shift towards stimulus policies, primarily focusing on large-scale debt restructuring, which is expected to support the A-share market [17][18] - The market's upward trend is considered to be established, with active trading sentiment and a daily trading volume above 20 trillion, suggesting an increased tolerance for economic and policy fluctuations [17][18] - The report highlights concerns regarding the sustainability of speculative trading styles, with regulatory measures being implemented to foster a healthier investment environment [18][30] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on structural opportunities in the market, particularly in sectors such as long-term undervalued companies, debt restructuring stocks, AI applications, and self-sufficiency in technology [34][35] - Specific sectors to watch include banking, non-banking financials, real estate, steel, construction, and transportation, which are expected to benefit from valuation recovery due to new market management regulations [29][34] - The report also emphasizes the importance of mergers and acquisitions in the technology sector, with support from regulatory bodies to enhance the effectiveness of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [35]