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国轩高科:出货结构调整扰动盈利,静待海外业务兑现
002074GOTION(002074)2024-11-18 07:23

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Guoxuan High-Tech is maintained as "Buy" [6]. Core Views - Guoxuan High-Tech reported a revenue of 8.381 billion yuan for Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.16% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 9.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 141 million yuan, up 69.82% year-on-year but down 30.1% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was 8 million yuan, down 47.31% year-on-year and down 78.91% quarter-on-quarter [6][7]. - The company has seen a significant increase in overall shipment volume, with energy storage accounting for approximately 35% of total shipments. The production capacity utilization for energy storage business continues to improve, and there is a sufficient backlog of orders with a positive production trend expected for Q4 [7][8]. - The company is accelerating its overseas production layout to meet customer demand in regions such as Asia-Pacific, Europe, Africa, and the Americas. The products have already been exported to these regions, demonstrating the competitiveness and influence of its energy storage market [8]. Financial Summary - For Q3 2024, Guoxuan High-Tech's financial metrics included a net profit margin of 1.14%, with operating cash flow net inflow of 63 million yuan and capital expenditure of 1.29 billion yuan. The company recorded higher financial expenses, potentially due to exchange rate losses, and made provisions for asset impairment and credit impairment totaling 24 million and 157 million yuan, respectively [7][8]. - The forecast for 2024 estimates the net profit attributable to shareholders to be approximately 840 million yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of about 50 times [8].